Modular Medical Stock Performance

MODD Stock  USD 0.18  -0.01  -5.26%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.67, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. With a beta above 1, Modular Medical typically delivers outsized gains in rising markets at the cost of steeper drawdowns. At this point, Modular Medical has a negative expected return of -0.53%. Please make sure to confirm Modular Medical's skewness, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day typical price, to decide if Modular Medical's performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, Modular Medical produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm's shareholders. Learn More
 Last Split Factor
1:3
 Last Split Date
2021-11-29
Begin Period Cash Flow9.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.5 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 34.00 in Modular Medical on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 16.00 from holding Modular Medical or given up 47.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. Modular Medical does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 9.1681% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 82% of stocks are less volatile than Modular, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Modular Medical is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.12 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. For Modular Stock, this mean-reverting tendency has been a useful tool for valuation. Still, some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings that are only corrected when buying and selling pressure realign.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
0.18 90 days 0.18
about 98.0
According to our probability model, the chance of Modular Medical moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This probability chart for Modular Medical depicts the range of likely prices for Modular Stock over a 90-day horizon).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Modular Medical will likely underperform. Additionally, Modular Medical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Modular Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Modular Medical

Predicting the direction of Modular Medical and the broader stock market involves a range of quantitative and qualitative techniques. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling future scenarios is a valuable part of investment decision-making. Comparing results from different methods frames the confidence level of their predictions.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Modular Medical's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.189.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.1411.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.279.50
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
Competitive analysis for Modular Medical compares its financial performance, valuation multiples, and growth trajectory against sector peers. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity for stock investors. Modular Medical has seen its share of dramatic price swings during this period. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking Modular Medical's volatility and elasticity can help investors in Modular Medical limit the impact of adverse market moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3065
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.0408

Investor Alerts and Insights

Real-time alerts for Modular Medical allow investors to track important stock developments as they happen. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Modular Medical helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced into the market.
Modular Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Modular Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Modular Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was -18.82 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Modular Medical currently holds about 13.7 M in cash with -15.72 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.25, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Modular Medical has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Modular Medical Implements Major Workforce Reduction to Cut Costs - Tip Ranks

Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when uncertainty rises among traders holding long positions. The future price of Modular Stock depends not only on investor outlook but also on the dynamics between participants with different trading approaches. Because risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Modular Medical's short-sentiment indicators are summarized below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.1 M

Modular Medical Fundamentals Growth

Investors assess Modular Stock by examining Modular Medical's underlying financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels are among the most closely watched fundamentals that shape Modular Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Modular Medical performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers. Modular Medical shows ROE of -3.32%, ROA of -149.81%.

For Modular Medical, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Intraday timing differences may exist. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 25th, 2026