Monro Muffler Brake Stock Performance
| MNRO Stock | USD 15.01 -0.32 -2.09% |
The company shows a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of -0.43, which attests to generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. the mildly negative beta suggests Monro Muffler provides a partial hedge against market-wide declines. At this point, Monro Muffler Brake has a negative expected return of -0.48%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
During the last 90 trading days, Monro Muffler Brake produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. The business is commonly classified in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Auto Parts industry. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm's investors. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.4 | Five Day Return -0.98 | Year To Date Return -22.74 | Ten Year Return -77.70 | All Time Return 297.39 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0746 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 3:2 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.12 | Dividend Date 2026-03-10 |
1 | Monro, Inc. to Report Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings on January 28, 2026 | 01/14/2026 |
2 | Monro Misses Q 4 CY 2025 Revenue Estimates | 01/28/2026 |
3 | MNRO Q 4 Deep Dive Digital Initiatives and Store Optimization Offset Sales Decline | 01/29/2026 |
4 | Acquisition by Fitzsimmons Peter D of 13350 shares of Monro Muffler at 18.8028 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/03/2026 |
5 | Acquisition by Fitzsimmons Peter D of 12750 shares of Monro Muffler at 19.6768 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/05/2026 |
6 | Monro Muffler Brake CEO Acquires 250,920.00 in Stock - Market Beat | 02/09/2026 |
7 | Monro declares 0.28 dividend | 02/13/2026 |
8 | Q 4 Auto Parts Retailer Earnings Advance Auto Parts Impresses | 02/20/2026 |
9 | Monro Could Find a Support Soon, Heres Why You Should Buy the Stock Now | 03/02/2026 |
10 | Monro Loses 6.9 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner | 03/06/2026 |
| Monro Muffler dividend paid on 10th of March 2026 | 03/10/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 6.6 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.2 M |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 2,051 in Monro Muffler Brake on December 24, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 550.00 from holding Monro Muffler Brake or given up 26.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. Monro Muffler Brake does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.8693% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Monro, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The mean-reverting behavior of Monro Stock price is a cornerstone of quantitative forecasting models. Studies have found that some stocks are persistently mispriced, with spreads correcting only when dynamics shift. Embedded risk premiums affect the speed at which mispriced stocks converge to their fair values. This concept remains a foundational input for building forecasting models around Monro Stock price behavior.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.01 | 90 days | 15.01 | close to 99 |
Probability analysis for this stock suggests that the odds of Monro Muffler moving above the current price in 90 days from now are close to 99 . That points to an upside-skewed near-term setup based on recent return behavior. (This density function focuses attention on the most probable trading range for Monro Stock over the next 90 days).
Monro Muffler Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Monro Muffler
The challenge of forecasting Monro Muffler Brake mirrors the broader difficulty of predicting stock market movements. While perfect accuracy is unattainable, applying multiple models remains a core part of sound stock analysis. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making. Applying diverse stock forecasting tools remains one of the most practical paths to better investment decisions.The mean reversion effect in Monro Muffler is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals. Such deviations have sometimes corrected when the initial catalyst fades, though timing remains uncertain. The degree to which Monro Muffler's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing critical.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over recent decades, the stock market has seen multiple large corrections and recoveries affecting Monro Muffler. Both sharp declines and powerful rallies have tested investor discipline in Monro Muffler Brake. Tracking Monro Muffler's volatility and fundamental risk indicators provides a framework for managing downside exposure. This framework helps investors in Monro Muffler Brake make more informed hedging and position-sizing decisions.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4555 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1278 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Investors who use alerts for Monro Muffler can respond more quickly to important stock events. Checking Monro Muffler Brake notifications regularly is a straightforward way to stay on top of actionable developments. Combining Monro Muffler alerts with broader market context improves the quality of investment decisions. Consistent monitoring through alerts builds a more complete picture of Monro Muffler over time.| Monro Muffler Brake generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Monro Muffler Brake currently holds $529.36 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.89, which is broadly in line with comparable companies. Monro Muffler Brake has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Monro Muffler's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The company reported previous year's revenue of 1.2 B. Net Loss for the year was -5.18 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 409.67 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of March 2026 Monro Muffler paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Monro Loses 6.9 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner |
Price Density Drivers
For investors analyzing Monro Muffler, understanding buyer and seller positioning dynamics is essential for price analysis. Monitoring these dynamics helps anticipate short-term price movements and gauge current market conditions. Assessing Monro Muffler's price density drivers provides insight into whether recent moves are fundamental or tactical. These indicators, paired with fundamental analysis, offer a more complete view of Monro Muffler.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.8 M |
Monro Muffler Fundamentals Growth
The market value of Monro Stock depends on how investors perceive Monro Muffler's financial strength. Earnings growth, revenue momentum, profitability ratios, and debt levels drive Monro Stock valuation. The financial health of Monro Muffler is the primary driver of Monro Stock market performance over time. Investors pricing Monro Stock focus on Monro Muffler's core financial fundamentals and growth trajectory.
| Return On Equity | -0.02 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0085 | |||
| Profit Margin | -0.01 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 931.77 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 30.02 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 82.82 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.75 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | |||
| Revenue | 1.2 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 409.67 M | |||
| EBITDA | 82.38 M | |||
| Net Income | -5.18 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.79 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.30 X | |||
| Total Debt | 529.36 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.89 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 20.15 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 131.91 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -0.48 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 450.6 M | |||
| Total Asset | 1.64 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 615.06 M | |||
| Working Capital | -246.89 M | |||
| Current Asset | 170.07 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 167.57 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Monro Muffler performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Correlation shifts can alter portfolio contribution during regime changes. Monro Muffler shows ROE of -2.0%, ROA of 0.85%.
Monro Muffler Brake metrics are compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Not all fields update in real time. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.