First Trust Multi Asset Etf Performance

MDIV Etf  USD 16.15  -0.21  -1.28%   
The etf has a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.27, which indicates very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. First Trust moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Balanced
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on First Trust Multi Asset rank lower than 11% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. The current category mapping is Aggressive Allocation. In spite of fairly stable forward indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potential. The latest price fuss may contribute to near-short-term losses for sophisticated investors. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,557 in First Trust Multi Asset on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 58.00 from holding First Trust Multi Asset or generated 3.73% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Multi Asset is currently generating a 0.0599% daily expected return and carries 0.4139% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the ETF over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 0.51 times more return on investment than the market. However, the ETF is 1.98 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of First Trust Multi

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Multi Asset extending back to August 14, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 16.15, as last reported on the 22nd of March, with the highest price reaching 16.36 and the lowest price hitting 16.13 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For First Etf, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some ETFs are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
16.15 90 days 16.15
about 48.95
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 48.95 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of First Etf prices over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Trust Multi Asset is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Trust Multi Asset has an alpha of 0.0613, implying that it can generate a 0.0613 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

Accurately predicting the ETF market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For First Trust Multi, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process - comparing methods and results provides context to develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to First Trust's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.7416.1516.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7316.1416.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7316.1416.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.1816.4816.77
Details
Peer comparison enriches First Trust analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the etf market, and First Trust has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in First Trust Multi Asset should monitor First Trust's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.32

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for First Trust give investors a structured way to monitor the ETF for material events. First Trust Multi notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf performance is fundamentally tied to First Trust's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for First Etf.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Inputs for First Trust Multi Asset come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 16th, 2026