Modern Capital Tactical Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

MCTDX Fund  USD 9.69  0.02  0.21%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.085, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Modern Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Modern Capital is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Modern Capital Tactical has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Modern Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Modern Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  978.00  in Modern Capital Tactical on July 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Modern Capital Tactical or give up 0.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Modern Capital Tactical is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.4542% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Modern, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Modern Capital is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 1.4 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Modern Capital Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
9.69
Please note that Modern Capital's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Modern Capital Tactical secures a last-minute Real Value of $9.34 per share. The latest price of the fund is $9.69. We determine the value of Modern Capital Tactical from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Modern Capital is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Modern Mutual Fund. However, Modern Capital's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.69 Real  9.34 Hype  9.69 Naive  9.7
The intrinsic value of Modern Capital's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Modern Capital's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.34
Real Value
9.79
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Modern Capital Tactical helps investors to forecast how Modern mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Modern Capital more accurately as focusing exclusively on Modern Capital's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.659.819.97
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.249.6910.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.249.7010.15
Details

Modern Capital Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Modern Capital's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Modern Capital Tactical, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Modern Capital's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0291

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Negative ReturnsMCTDX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.45
  actual daily
4
96% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.01
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Modern Capital is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Modern Capital by adding Modern Capital to a well-diversified portfolio.

Modern Capital Fundamentals Growth

Modern Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Modern Capital, and Modern Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Modern Mutual Fund performance.

About Modern Capital Performance

Evaluating Modern Capital's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Modern Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Modern Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by tactically investing long or short primarily in publicly traded closed-end funds, domestic or foreign common stocks, exchange-traded funds , sponsored American Depositary Receipts , and debt instruments. Modern Capital is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Modern Capital Tactical performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Modern Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Modern Capital Tactical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Modern Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 45.42% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Modern Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Modern Capital's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Modern Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Modern Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Modern Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Modern Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Modern Capital's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Modern Capital's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Modern Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Modern Capital's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Modern Capital's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Modern Mutual Fund

Modern Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Modern Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Modern with respect to the benefits of owning Modern Capital security.
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