Microchip Technology Stock Performance
| MCHP Stock | USD 64.34 1.37 2.18% |
The company has a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.39, which alludes to elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Microchip Technology will likely underperform. At this point, Microchip Technology has a negative expected return of -0.0156%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
During the last 90 trading days, Microchip Technology produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Even with relatively invariable technical indicators, Microchip Technology is not utilizing all of its potential. The recent price agitation may contribute to short-term losses for retail investors. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -0.51 | Five Day Return -1.61 | Year To Date Return -3.17 | Ten Year Return 162.59 | All Time Return 19.2 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0289 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.82 | Dividend Date 2026-03-10 |
1 | Acquisition by James Bjornholt of 3027 shares of Microchip Technology subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
2 | Production-Ready, Full-Stack Edge AI Solutions Turn Microchips MCUs and MPUs Into Catalysts for Intelligent Real-Time Decision-Making | 02/10/2026 |
3 | Disposition of 776 shares by James Bjornholt of Microchip Technology at 78.94 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/13/2026 |
4 | Disposition of 2000 shares by James Bjornholt of Microchip Technology at 78.93 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/24/2026 |
5 | Microchip MASTERs Conference Highlights Community Focus And Raises Valuation Questions | 03/04/2026 |
6 | New LX 4580 is a Highly Integrated 24 Channel Mixed Signal IC for Aviation and Defense Actuation Systems | 03/05/2026 |
7 | Microchip Technology to Present at the Cantor Global Technology Industrial Growth Conference | 03/09/2026 |
| Microchip Technology dividend paid on 10th of March 2026 | 03/10/2026 |
9 | Microchip Trust Platform Expansion Highlights Security Focus And Valuation Gap | 03/11/2026 |
10 | Stocks Retreat From Initial Highs as Oil Prices Rebound | 03/13/2026 |
11 | Acquisition by Sanghi Steve of 28833 shares of Microchip Technology subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/16/2026 |
12 | Mythic Selects mem Brain Technology from Silicon Storage Technology for its Next Generation of Ultra-Low-Power Analog Processing Units | 03/17/2026 |
13 | Mythics Neuromorphic Design Win Might Change The Case For Investing In Microchip Technology | 03/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 319.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -287.8 M |
Microchip | Build portfolio with Microchip Stock |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 6,497 in Microchip Technology on December 23, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 194.00 from holding Microchip Technology or given up 2.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. Microchip Technology does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.6368% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Microchip, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The mean-reverting behavior of Microchip Stock price is a cornerstone of quantitative forecasting models. Studies have found that some stocks are persistently mispriced, with spreads correcting only when dynamics shift. Embedded risk premiums affect the speed at which mispriced stocks converge to their fair values.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 64.34 | 90 days | 64.34 | about 88.69 |
Probability analysis for this stock suggests that the odds of Microchip Technology moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 88.69 . The probability reflects standard statistical modeling applied to this stock's price history. Investors should treat this probability as one input within a broader analytical framework. (This density function estimates how Microchip Stock price is distributed across a range of outcomes over 90 days). This distribution is derived from Microchip Stock's historical price data and statistical volatility measures. Use the shape of this distribution to calibrate position sizing and risk management for Microchip Stock.
Microchip Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Microchip Technology
The challenge of forecasting Microchip Technology mirrors the broader difficulty of predicting stock market movements. While perfect accuracy is unattainable, applying multiple models remains a core part of sound stock analysis. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.The mean reversion effect in Microchip Technology is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals. Such deviations have sometimes corrected when the initial catalyst fades, though timing remains uncertain. The degree to which Microchip Technology's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over recent decades, the stock market has seen multiple large corrections and recoveries affecting Microchip Technology. Both sharp declines and powerful rallies have tested investor discipline in Microchip Technology. Tracking Microchip Technology's volatility and fundamental risk indicators provides a framework for managing downside exposure.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Investors who use alerts for Microchip Technology can respond more quickly to important stock events. Checking Microchip Technology notifications regularly is a straightforward way to stay on top of actionable developments. Combining Microchip Technology alerts with broader market context improves the quality of investment decisions.| Microchip Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported previous year's revenue of 4.4 B. Net Loss for the year was -500 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 B. | |
| Microchip Technology has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of March 2026 Microchip Technology paid $ 0.455 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Mythics Neuromorphic Design Win Might Change The Case For Investing In Microchip Technology |
Price Density Drivers
For investors analyzing Microchip Technology, understanding buyer and seller positioning dynamics is essential for price analysis. Monitoring these dynamics helps anticipate short-term price movements and gauge current market conditions. Assessing Microchip Technology's price density drivers provides insight into whether recent moves are fundamental or tactical.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 537.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 771.7 M |
Microchip Technology Fundamentals Growth
The market value of Microchip Stock depends on how investors perceive Microchip Technology's financial strength. Earnings growth, revenue momentum, profitability ratios, and debt levels drive Microchip Stock valuation. The financial health of Microchip Technology is the primary driver of Microchip Stock market performance over time.
| Return On Equity | -0.0109 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0116 | |||
| Profit Margin | -0.02 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 39.23 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 541.14 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 59.00 X | |||
| Price To Book | 5.19 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 7.79 X | |||
| Revenue | 4.4 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 2.42 B | |||
| EBITDA | 1.04 B | |||
| Net Income | -500 K | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 379.1 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.69 X | |||
| Total Debt | 5.67 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.27 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.78 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.12 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 898.1 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -0.30 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 34.08 B | |||
| Total Asset | 15.37 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 5.78 B | |||
| Working Capital | 1.84 B | |||
| Current Asset | 3.1 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 382.01 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Microchip Technology performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Return persistence supports interpretability across rolling windows. Microchip Technology shows ROE of -1.09%, ROA of 1.16%.
Reported values for Microchip Technology are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and then standardized by Macroaxis analytics. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Refresh times depend on source availability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.