Intel Stock Performance

INTC Stock  USD 43.95  0.08  0.18%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Intel holds a performance score of 7. The firm has a market beta of 1.47, which alludes to elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intel will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, Intel sits below 7% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. The business is commonly classified in the Technology sector and the Semiconductors industry. In spite of rather inconsistent basic indicators, Intel exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-5.00
 Five Day Return
-0.75
 Year To Date Return
11.4
 Ten Year Return
37.09
 All Time Return
108.7 K
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Dividend Date
2024-09-01
 Ex Dividend Date
2024-08-07
 Last Split Date
2000-07-31
Begin Period Cash Flow8.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-14.8 B

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,635 in Intel on December 23, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 752.00 from holding Intel or generated 20.69% return on investment over 90 days. Intel is currently generating a 0.4167% daily expected return and carries 4.6593% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Intel, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intel is expected to generate 5.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.12 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

A fundamental principle of stock forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. This pattern serves as a foundation for forecasting, even though some stocks exhibit persistent deviations. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk requiring compensation through extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
43.95 90 days 43.95
about 53.68
According to our probability model, the chance of Intel moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.68 . The calculation incorporates the stock's observed price distribution and volatility regime. Actual outcomes may differ from the model if market conditions shift significantly. (This probability chart for Intel depicts the range of likely prices for Intel Stock over a 90-day horizon). A shift in the peak of the curve over time indicates changing market expectations for Intel Stock. Investors can use this distribution to assess the range of realistic price scenarios for Intel Stock.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.47 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intel will likely underperform. Additionally, Intel has an alpha of 0.4734, implying that it can generate a 0.4734 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Intel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intel

Forecasting Intel involves applying various models to estimate future stock price behavior. Despite uncertainty, systematic forecasting provides investors with structured context for evaluating Intel. Comparing results across methods can improve accuracy, even in unpredictable stock markets.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Intel's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. Positions sized too aggressively against the trend can suffer sustained losses before reversion occurs in Intel. The mean reversion framework for Intel is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.1543.7748.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.2045.8250.44
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
42.8747.1152.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.020.010.06
Details
A rigorous investment case for Intel requires more than studying its own financials. Understanding where Intel stands relative to peers supports assessment of sustainable advantage. How Intel's growth rates, profitability, and capital efficiency stack up against peers often decides investments.

Primary Risk Indicators

Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity for stock investors including Intel. The pattern of corrections and recoveries in Intel mirrors the broader stock market experience. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking Intel's volatility can help limit the impact of adverse moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.47
σ
Overall volatility
4.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Investor Alerts and Insights

Real-time alerts for Intel allow investors to track important stock developments as they happen. Notifications for Intel highlight significant technical and fundamental shifts that may signal emerging risks. Each alert is generated from real-time data feeds monitoring Intel price action and volume.
Intel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Intel Stock Price Up 2.2 percent Should You Buy

Price Density Drivers

Understanding the forces behind Intel's price movements requires examining buyer and seller positioning dynamics. These indicators capture key forces that influence Intel's near-term price behavior and volatility. Intel's indicators related to price density are summarized below for reference.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments37.4 B

Intel Fundamentals Growth

Investors assess Intel Stock by examining Intel's underlying financial health and growth trajectory. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence Intel Stock. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intel Stock performance across market cycles.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Intel performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles. Intel shows ROE of 0.02%, ROA of 0.28%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Intel is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 6th, 2026