ImageneBio Stock Performance

IMA Stock   5.84  -0.18  -2.99%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.71, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. ImageneBio moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs. At this point, ImageneBio has a negative expected return of -0.0296%. Please make sure to confirm ImageneBio's potential upside, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and day median price, to decide if ImageneBio's performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, ImageneBio failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The business is commonly classified in the Healthcare sector and the Biotechnology industry. Despite somewhat strong primary indicators, ImageneBio is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-2.90
 Five Day Return
0.17
 Year To Date Return
-10.95
 Ten Year Return
-98.43
 All Time Return
-98.43
 Last Split Factor
1:12
 Last Split Date
2025-07-28
Begin Period Cash Flow12.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.8 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 619.00 in ImageneBio on December 18, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 35.50 from holding ImageneBio or given up 5.74% of portfolio value over 90 days. ImageneBio is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.7469% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than ImageneBio, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Considering the 90-day investment horizon ImageneBio is expected to generate 4.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Prices of stocks like ImageneBio Stock tend to oscillate around a central value over time, a phenomenon known as mean reversion. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently underpriced or overpriced before the market corrects the discrepancy.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
5.84 90 days 5.84
over 95.29
Under a normal probability framework, the likelihood of ImageneBio moving above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.29 (The distribution above models the probability of ImageneBio Stock reaching different price points within 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ImageneBio has a beta of 0.71. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ImageneBio's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding ImageneBio is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, ImageneBio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ImageneBio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ImageneBio

The challenge of forecasting ImageneBio mirrors the broader difficulty of predicting stock market movements. No single technique offers reliable accuracy, but investors who apply multiple methods and compare the results are better positioned to identify potential outcomes and manage risk effectively.
While mean reversion in ImageneBio is a statistically observable tendency, it operates on uncertain timelines. Positions sized too aggressively against the trend can suffer sustained losses before reversion occurs.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.366.099.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.646.3710.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.506.239.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.83-0.83-0.83
Details
To derive maximum value from ImageneBio analysis, compare ImageneBio's metrics against peers. This cross-sectional approach separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level trends.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market has been marked by significant volatility in the last 10-20 years, and ImageneBio has not been spared. Both sharp declines and strong rallies have tested investor discipline. A hedging strategy built around ImageneBio's risk indicators can help those holding ImageneBio manage downside risk more effectively.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0173
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.0015

Investor Alerts and Insights

Investors who use alerts for ImageneBio can respond more quickly to important stock events. Notifications for ImageneBio highlight significant technical and fundamental shifts that may create new opportunities or signal emerging risks.
ImageneBio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ImageneBio has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ImageneBio has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
ImageneBio was previously known as Ikena Oncology and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol IKNA.
The company reported last year's revenue of 800 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was -52.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.3 M.
ImageneBio generates negative cash flow from operations
ImageneBio has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Imagene Bio Reports Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635

Price Density Drivers

ImageneBio price dynamics are shaped by the balance between buyer and seller activity. When short interest rises or long traders begin reducing positions, volatility tends to increase. Key market indicators are shown below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments75.8 M

ImageneBio Fundamentals Growth

Investor sentiment toward ImageneBio Stock is largely driven by ImageneBio's fundamental metrics. Revenue growth rates, earnings per share trends, profit margin changes, and leverage ratios are among the most impactful factors determining ImageneBio Stock market behavior.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

ImageneBio performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Benchmark comparison clarifies whether outcomes reflect exposure or implementation effects.

Data shown for ImageneBio is aggregated from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized across reporting formats. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Source publication cadence can introduce delays. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 8th, 2026