Guardian Exploration Stock Performance

GXUSF Stock  USD 0.15  0.00  0.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Guardian Exploration holds a performance score of 7. The firm maintains a market beta of 1.25, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guardian Exploration will likely underperform. Please verify Guardian Exploration's the relationship between the Variance and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Guardian Exploration's current trending patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Guardian Exploration rank lower than 7% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Guardian Exploration reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow22 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-14 K
  

Guardian Exploration Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 12.00 in Guardian Exploration on December 11, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 3.00 from holding Guardian Exploration or generated 25.0% return on investment over 90 days. Guardian Exploration is currently producing a 0.4704% return and carries 5.0105% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 44% of traded otc stocks are less volatile than Guardian, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon Guardian Exploration is expected to generate 6.51 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For Guardian OTC Stock, the observed tendency of price to return to a central value is a key input to forecasting models. This mean reversion pattern, however, does not apply uniformly — some stocks remain mispriced for extended periods, suggesting that embedded risk premiums affect the speed of correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
0.15 90 days 0.15
about 84.87
According to a normal distribution model, the odds of Guardian Exploration moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 84.87 (The density curve for Guardian Exploration shows where Guardian OTC Stock price is most likely to settle within 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Guardian Exploration will likely underperform. Additionally, Guardian Exploration has an alpha of 0.4477, implying that it can generate a 0.4477 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Guardian Exploration Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guardian Exploration

A wide range of forecasting techniques can be applied to Guardian Exploration and the broader otc stock market. While market prediction remains inherently uncertain, combining multiple approaches and evaluating their results is one of the most effective ways to improve the quality of investment decisions.
Mean reversion in Guardian Exploration is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.155.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.165.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00320.165.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.130.160.18
Details
Effective investment decisions about Guardian Exploration require competitive context. Benchmarking Guardian Exploration's against peers on earnings quality, growth consistency, and balance sheet strength can materially change the investment conclusion.

Guardian Exploration Risk Indicators

The otc stock market's recent history has been defined by volatility, with multiple large corrections and rallies in the last 10-20 years. Guardian Exploration has participated in these swings. Investors holding Guardian Exploration can protect their portfolios by monitoring Guardian Exploration's risk indicators and implementing appropriate hedging strategies.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Guardian Exploration Alerts and Suggestions

Investors in Guardian Exploration benefit from automated alerts that flag material stock changes as they occur. Guardian Exploration notifications cover technical signals, fundamental shifts, and notable headlines that may impact investment timing.
Guardian Exploration had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Guardian Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardian Exploration has accumulated $40.84 K in total debt. Guardian Exploration has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Guardian Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Guardian Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Guardian Exploration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Guardian to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Guardian Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was -634.45 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Guardian Exploration has accumulated about 3.31 K in cash with -283.12 K of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Guardian Exploration Fundamentals Growth

Guardian OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guardian Exploration, and Guardian Exploration fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guardian OTC Stock performance.

About Guardian Exploration Performance Analysis

Guardian Exploration performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost. Guardian Exploration shows ROA of -53.6%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for Guardian Exploration is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.