Ess Tech Stock Performance

GWH Stock  USD 1.75  0.04  2.34%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.36, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ESS Tech will likely underperform. At this point, ESS Tech has a negative expected return of -0.91%. Please make sure to confirm ESS Tech's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if ESS Tech performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ESS Tech has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:15
Last Split Date
2024-08-26
1
Will ESS Tech Inc. stock outperform benchmarks - Trade Volume Summary Short-Term High Return Ideas - newser.com
11/19/2025
2
ESS Tech Amends Promissory Note Agreement with Yorkville - TipRanks
12/05/2025
3
Is ESS Tech Stock Built to Withstand More Downside - Trefis
12/23/2025
4
What is the fair value of ESS Tech Inc. stock now - Weekly Stock Recap Long-Term Growth Stock Strategies - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
5
Acquisition by Garabedian Raffi of 135373 shares of ESS Tech subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2026
6
Acquisition by Drew Buckley of 550000 shares of ESS Tech at 1.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
7
ESS Tech, Inc. Announces Closing of 15 Million Registered Direct Offering Priced at a Premium to Market
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow22.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities64.8 M

ESS Tech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  362.00  in ESS Tech on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (187.00) from holding ESS Tech or give up 51.66% of portfolio value over 90 days. ESS Tech is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 7.1484% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 64% of stocks are less volatile than ESS, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ESS Tech is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 9.61 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

ESS Tech Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ESS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.75 90 days 1.75 
about 79.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ESS Tech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.47 (This ESS Tech probability density function shows the probability of ESS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.36 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ESS Tech will likely underperform. Additionally ESS Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ESS Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ESS Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ESS Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESS Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.758.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.688.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.878.97
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.193.503.89
Details

ESS Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ESS Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ESS Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ESS Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ESS Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

ESS Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ESS Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ESS Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ESS Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ESS Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ESS Tech may become a speculative penny stock
ESS Tech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.29 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (86.22 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (31.16 M).
ESS Tech has about 13.34 M in cash with (72.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.25.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ESS Tech, Inc. Announces Closing of 15 Million Registered Direct Offering Priced at a Premium to Market

ESS Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ESS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ESS Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ESS Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding176.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.6 M

ESS Tech Fundamentals Growth

ESS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ESS Tech, and ESS Tech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ESS Stock performance.

About ESS Tech Performance

By evaluating ESS Tech's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ESS Tech's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ESS Tech has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ESS Tech has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 45.84  54.89 
Return On Tangible Assets(1.16)(1.21)
Return On Capital Employed(1.83)(1.92)
Return On Assets(1.08)(1.13)
Return On Equity(3.43)(3.26)

Things to note about ESS Tech performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ESS Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ESS Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ESS Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ESS Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
ESS Tech may become a speculative penny stock
ESS Tech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.29 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (86.22 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (31.16 M).
ESS Tech has about 13.34 M in cash with (72.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.25.
Roughly 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ESS Tech, Inc. Announces Closing of 15 Million Registered Direct Offering Priced at a Premium to Market
Evaluating ESS Tech's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ESS Tech's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ESS Tech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ESS Tech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ESS Tech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ESS Tech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ESS Tech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ESS Tech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ESS Tech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ESS Tech's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ESS Tech's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running ESS Tech's price analysis, check to measure ESS Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ESS Tech is operating at the current time. Most of ESS Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ESS Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ESS Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ESS Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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