Groupe Dynamite Stock Performance

GRGD Stock   74.30  1.23  1.68%   
The company retains a Market Sensitivity (Beta) of 2.02, which means elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Market upswings tend to lift Groupe Dynamite more than average, but downturns carry a proportionally larger impact on returns. At this point, Groupe Dynamite has a negative expected return of -0.18%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Groupe Dynamite has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of latest unfluctuating performance, the stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm's investors. Learn More
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0283
 Payout Ratio
0.015
 Dividend Date
2025-12-29
 Ex Dividend Date
2025-12-19
Begin Period Cash Flow8.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities46.7 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 8,662 in Groupe Dynamite on December 24, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 1,232 from holding Groupe Dynamite or given up 14.22% of portfolio value over 90 days. Groupe Dynamite is generating negative expected returns and shows 3.9382% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Groupe, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Groupe Dynamite is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some stocks carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price. Understanding mean reversion in Groupe Stock helps frame realistic expectations for price normalization over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
74.30 90 days 74.30
about 79.05
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of Groupe Dynamite moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 79.05 . That suggests recent trading behavior has favored stronger upside scenarios over this horizon. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Groupe Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Groupe Stock.
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.02 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Groupe Dynamite will likely underperform. Additionally, Groupe Dynamite has an alpha of 0.0361, implying that it can generate a 0.0361 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Groupe Dynamite Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Groupe Dynamite

For Groupe Dynamite, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Groupe Dynamite price behavior. This multi-model approach helps investors prepare for a range of potential outcomes in Groupe Dynamite.
Mean reversion analysis in Groupe Dynamite's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Groupe Dynamite is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.1172.0776.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.8065.7680.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.7666.7270.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.530.300.56
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Groupe Dynamite analysis. Benchmarking Groupe Dynamite's performance and risk profile against competitors validates any investment thesis. Evaluating Groupe Dynamite in context means comparing Groupe Dynamite's against the competitive peer group. Comparing Groupe Dynamite against peers transforms raw financial data into actionable insight.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Groupe Dynamite. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Groupe Dynamite. A disciplined approach to monitoring Groupe Dynamite's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions. Fundamental risk indicators provide the analytical foundation for evaluating Groupe Dynamite downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.02
σ
Overall volatility
6.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.0087

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring Groupe Dynamite alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Groupe Dynamite helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Groupe Dynamite allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy. This proactive approach supports better-timed portfolio adjustments.
Groupe Dynamite generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Groupe Dynamite has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Latest headline from news.google.com: This TSX stock surged 300 per cent this year and analysts see more upside ahead - MSN

Price Density Drivers

The price of Groupe Stock is driven by buyer and seller positioning dynamics along with broader market trends. Because market risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Understanding Groupe Dynamite's price drivers helps determine whether movements reflect underlying changes or positioning shifts. Review the table below for a summary of Groupe Dynamite's key price density metrics.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments74.2 M

Groupe Dynamite Fundamentals Growth

Groupe Dynamite's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Groupe Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Groupe Stock. Groupe Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Groupe Dynamite's financial fundamentals. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Groupe Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Groupe Dynamite performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Groupe Dynamite shows ROE of 98.98%, ROA of 25.04%.

This section for Groupe Dynamite is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with reporting definitions aligned before display. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 13th, 2026