Geospace Technologies Stock Performance

GEOS Stock  USD 12.00  -0.92  -7.12%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.63, which alludes to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Market upswings tend to lift Geospace Technologies more than average, but downturns carry a proportionally larger impact on returns. At this point, Geospace Technologies has a negative expected return of -0.0205%. Please make sure to validate Geospace Technologies' the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index, to decide if Geospace Technologies's performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, Geospace Technologies produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. Used correctly, this score helps investors distinguish between raw price movement and actual return efficiency. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Geospace Technologies is not utilizing all of its potential. The latest price uproar may contribute to short-horizon losses for private investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
5.56
 Five Day Return
8.03
 Year To Date Return
-26.96
 Ten Year Return
4.79
 All Time Return
69.44
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Last Split Date
2012-10-19
Begin Period Cash Flow6.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities42.7 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,541 in Geospace Technologies on December 18, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 299.50 from holding Geospace Technologies or given up 19.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Geospace Technologies does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 7.5142% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 67% of stocks are less volatile than Geospace, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Geospace Technologies is expected to generate 9.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The pattern of price convergence toward an average value is one of the most reliable features of organized stock markets. For Geospace Stock, this behavior has been used by investors as a forecasting baseline, though some stocks exhibit notable delays before mispricing is corrected.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
12.00 90 days 12.00
about 73.07
A probability distribution analysis shows that the odds of Geospace Technologies moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 73.07 (The curve above represents the probability density of Geospace Stock prices across the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.63 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Geospace Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally, Geospace Technologies has an alpha of 0.0939, implying that it can generate a 0.0939 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Geospace Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Geospace Technologies

Forecasting techniques for the stock market vary widely in methodology and complexity. For instruments such as Geospace Technologies, combining multiple approaches provides a more robust view than relying on any single model. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.
Investors who believe in mean reversion view Geospace Technologies' price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.9212.4319.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2815.7923.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.9310.4417.95
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.7017.2519.15
Details
A complete picture of Geospace Technologies's investment merit requires comparative analysis. How Geospace Technologies' growth rates, profitability, and capital efficiency stack up against peers is often the deciding factor in investment decisions.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have demonstrated just how volatile the stock market can be. Geospace Technologies has been part of this story, with corrections and rallies that have made and broken portfolios. Holding Geospace Technologies with a hedging strategy informed by Geospace Technologies' risk indicators is one way to limit downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.63
σ
Overall volatility
4.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.0037

Investor Alerts and Insights

Timely alerts on Geospace Technologies help investors identify important shifts in stock conditions early. Reviewing Geospace Technologies notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns, fundamental changes, and market-moving headlines.
Geospace Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Geospace Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported previous year's revenue of 110.8 M. Net Loss for the year was -9.72 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.44 M.
Geospace Technologies currently holds about 9.07 M in cash with -22.23 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.7.
Geospace Technologies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Geospace Technologies Corporation Affects Rotational Strategy Timing - Stock Traders Daily

Price Density Drivers

The indicators below capture the key forces that influence Geospace Technologies' near-term price action, including the dynamics between long and short market participants. Reviewing these metrics helps investors contextualize Geospace Technologies price movements and anticipate potential volatility shifts.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.3 M

Geospace Technologies Fundamentals Growth

Understanding Geospace Stock requires a close look at Geospace Technologies' financial fundamentals. Revenue growth, earnings consistency, operating margins, and capital structure are the principal factors that influence Geospace Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Geospace Technologies performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Geospace Technologies shows ROE of -21.55%, ROA of -13.87%.

This section for Geospace Technologies is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 6th, 2026