Guardian Directed Equity ETF Performance

GDEP ETF  CAD 17.89  -0.03  -0.17%   
The ETF maintains a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of 0.0157, which conveys very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. Returns on Guardian Directed tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Guardian Directed Equity has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Guardian Directed is not utilizing all of its potential. The recent price disarray may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 1,889 in Guardian Directed Equity on December 27, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 100.00 from holding Guardian Directed Equity or given up 5.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guardian Directed Equity is generating negative expected returns and shows 0.6954% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 6% of etfs are less volatile than Guardian, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the ETF over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Guardian Directed is expected to under-perform the market. But it appears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the ETF is 1.23 times less risky than the market. the ETF trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Historical Prices of Guardian Directed Equity

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Guardian Directed Equity extending back to August 14, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Guardian Directed stands at 17.89, as last reported on the 27th of March, with the highest price reaching 17.89 and the lowest price hitting 17.89 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

One of the most enduring patterns in ETF markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some ETFs exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some ETFs carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price. Understanding mean reversion in Guardian ETF helps frame realistic expectations for price normalization over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
17.89 90 days 17.89
about 98.0
Applying a normal distribution to this ETF, the odds of Guardian Directed moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 98.0 . Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Guardian ETF over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Guardian ETF.
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Guardian Directed has a beta of 0.0157. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guardian Directed's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Guardian Directed Equity is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Guardian Directed Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Guardian Directed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guardian Directed

For Guardian Directed Equity, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future ETF price direction. No method can consistently predict the ETF market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Guardian Directed Equity price behavior. This multi-model approach helps investors prepare for a range of potential outcomes in Guardian Directed Equity.
Mean reversion analysis in Guardian Directed's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Guardian Directed is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.1917.8918.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3318.0318.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.0417.7318.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.7418.2318.72
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Guardian Directed analysis. Benchmarking Guardian Directed's performance and risk profile against competitors validates any investment thesis. Evaluating Guardian Directed in context means comparing Guardian Directed's against the competitive peer group. Comparing Guardian Directed against peers transforms raw financial data into actionable insight.

Primary Risk Indicators

The ETF market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Guardian Directed. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Guardian Directed Equity. A disciplined approach to monitoring Guardian Directed's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions. Fundamental risk indicators provide the analytical foundation for evaluating Guardian Directed downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0841
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.0127

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring Guardian Directed alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material ETF changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Guardian Directed Equity helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Guardian Directed allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy. This proactive approach supports better-timed portfolio adjustments.
Guardian Directed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Guardian Capital Announces March 2026 Cash Distributions for Guardian Capital ETFs - The Globe and Mail

Guardian Directed Fundamentals Growth

Guardian Directed's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Guardian ETF market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Guardian ETF. Guardian ETF market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Guardian Directed's financial fundamentals. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Guardian ETF performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Guardian Directed risk-adjusted performance compares returns to the volatility absorbed while tracking its benchmark. Higher risk-adjusted returns suggest that performance quality, not just magnitude, supports the result.

Inputs for Guardian Directed Equity come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 16th, 2026