First Trust Small Etf Performance

FYT Etf  USD 60.26  -0.64  -1.05%   
The etf has a beta of 1.09, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Trust returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Contained
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on First Trust Small rank lower than 5% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potential. The recent price uproar may contribute to short-horizon losses for private investors. Learn More
1
First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Update
03/11/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 5,833 in First Trust Small on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 257.00 from holding First Trust Small or generated 4.41% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Small is generating a 0.0777% daily return assuming volatility of 1.0887% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 1.41 times more return on investment than the market. However, the ETF is 1.41 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of First Trust Small

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Small extending back to April 20, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 60.26, as last reported on the 12th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 60.26 and the lowest price hitting 60.04 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded ETFs are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these ETFs carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
60.26 90 days 60.26
about 54.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 54.53 (This First Trust Small probability density function shows the probability of First Etf falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This usually indicates First Trust Small market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow. Additionally, First Trust Small has an alpha of 0.1221, implying that it can generate a 0.1221 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the ETF market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as First Trust Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the ETF market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.9560.0461.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.0464.1165.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.0659.1560.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.8163.1365.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Trust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Trust's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market. First Trust is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards First Trust's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold First Trust Small, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

Automated alerts tied to First Trust help investors stay ahead of material changes in ETF conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for First Trust Small is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust Small Cap Value AlphaDEX Fund Short Interest Update
The fund retains 99.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance Analysis

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for First Trust Small is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.