First Trust Financials Etf Performance

FXO Etf  USD 56.34  0.14  0.25%   
The ETF has a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.97, which indicates generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. First Trust returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
First Trust Financials has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of latest weak performance, the etf's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the ETF's investors. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 6,147 in First Trust Financials on December 26, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 513.00 from holding First Trust Financials or given up 8.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Financials is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.0131% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 9% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 1.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of First Trust Financials

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Financials extending back to May 10, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 56.34, as last reported on the 26th of March, with the highest price reaching 56.97 and the lowest price hitting 56.02 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some ETFs remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
56.34 90 days 56.34
over 95.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now are over 95.64 . Over this horizon, the return distribution for this ETF has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for First Etf over the next 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates First Trust Financials market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow. Additionally, First Trust Financials has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the ETF market and estimating future values of First Trust Financials. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that First Trust's price will even out over time. Periods when First Trust's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.3356.3457.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.9356.9457.95
Details
Analyzing First Trust in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market, and First Trust is no exception. First Trust has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0663
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.0656

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to First Trust help investors stay ahead of material changes in ETF conditions. First Trust Financials notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
First Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from cnbc.com: U.S. executives, from Apple to Eli Lilly, revamp their push into the worlds second-largest economy at the China Development Forum
The fund retains 99.14% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of First Trust's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape First Etf market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust risk-adjusted performance compares returns to the volatility absorbed while tracking its benchmark. Sharpe and Sortino ratios frame return efficiency relative to total and downside risk.

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Trust Financials is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 1st, 2026