First Trust Technology Etf Performance

FXL Etf  USD 160.25  -3.67  -2.24%   
The etf has a beta of -0.31, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on First Trust tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, First Trust Technology generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potential. The recent price mess may contribute to short-term losses for institutional investors. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 16,867 in First Trust Technology on December 14, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 842.00 from holding First Trust Technology or given up 4.99% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Technology is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.4701% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 13% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 1.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of First Trust Technology

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Technology extending back to May 10, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 160.25, as last reported on the 14th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 163.04 and the lowest price hitting 160.25 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded ETFs are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these ETFs carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
160.25 90 days 160.25
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 98.0 (This First Trust Technology probability density function shows the probability of First Etf falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust Technology has a beta of -0.31. This usually indicates that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on First Trust tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, First Trust Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, First Trust Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the ETF market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as First Trust Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the ETF market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
158.84160.31161.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
147.66149.13176.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
157.05158.52159.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
157.99167.04176.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Trust. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Trust's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market. First Trust is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards First Trust's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold First Trust Technology, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1299
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
4.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.0484

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to First Trust help investors stay ahead of material changes in ETF conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for First Trust Technology is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
First Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Daily Crypto Signals Bitcoin ETF Inflows Turn Positive, Ethereum Shorts Face 273M Squeeze - FXLeaders
The fund retains 99.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes.

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Trust Technology is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board