First Trust Consumer Etf Performance

FXD Etf  USD 64.58  0.32  0.50%   
The ETF retains a Market Sensitivity (Beta) of 1.18, which means elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the ETF is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, First Trust will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, First Trust Consumer failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of latest uncertain performance, the etf's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the fund's shareholders. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 6,963 in First Trust Consumer on December 25, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 505.00 from holding First Trust Consumer or given up 7.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Consumer is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.2239% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 1.45 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of First Trust Consumer

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Consumer extending back to May 10, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 64.58, as last reported on the 25th of March, with the highest price reaching 64.58 and the lowest price hitting 64.03 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some ETFs remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
64.58 90 days 64.58
over 95.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now are over 95.88 . Over this horizon, the return distribution for this ETF has leaned toward above-current outcomes historically. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for First Etf over the next 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the ETF is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, First Trust will likely underperform. Additionally, First Trust Consumer has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the ETF market and estimating future values of First Trust Consumer. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that First Trust's price will even out over time. Periods when First Trust's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.0764.2965.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.8365.0566.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.2065.4266.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
61.3966.3571.31
Details
Analyzing First Trust in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market, and First Trust is no exception. First Trust has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0375
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.18
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.0416

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to First Trust help investors stay ahead of material changes in ETF conditions. First Trust Consumer notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
First Trust Consumer generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of First Trust's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape First Etf market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust risk-adjusted performance compares returns to the volatility absorbed while tracking its benchmark. Sharpe and Sortino ratios frame return efficiency relative to total and downside risk.

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Trust Consumer is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 28th, 2026