First Trust Value Etf Performance

FVD Etf  USD 46.92  0.46  0.99%   
The etf has a Market Sensitivity (Beta) of 0.44, which indicates generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. With a sub-1 beta, First Trust typically participates in market rallies at a reduced pace while often limiting downside exposure.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
First Trust Value currently ranks below 3% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. The main point is that return should be judged together with the volatility required to produce it. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price tumult may contribute to shorter-term losses for shareholders. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 4,626 in First Trust Value on December 23, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 66.00 from holding First Trust Value or generated 1.43% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Value is generating a 0.0247% daily return assuming volatility of 0.6049% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 5% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to generate 0.73 times more return on investment than the market. However, the ETF is 1.36 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.12 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of First Trust Value

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Value extending back to August 27, 2003. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 46.92, as last reported on the 23rd of March, with the highest price reaching 47.12 and the lowest price hitting 46.31 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for ETFs like First Etf. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
46.92 90 days 46.92
about 76.39
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 76.39 . The probability is derived from quantitative analysis of this ETF's historical price data. (This First Trust Value distribution illustrates the range of expected prices for First Etf over a 90-day period). Higher volatility in First Etf produces a flatter, wider distribution with more dispersed price expectations.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust has a beta of 0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Trust Value is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Trust Value has an alpha of 0.0383, implying that it can generate a 0.0383 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

Investors use a wide range of techniques to forecast First Trust Value within the ETF market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level investors can assign to First Trust Value predictions.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in First Trust's can be observed through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Investors who believe in mean reversion view First Trust's price extremes as temporary dislocations that may self-correct.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.3246.9247.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.8547.4548.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.8846.4847.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.3548.5850.81
Details
When analyzing First Trust, investors should assess its competitive position relative to sector peers. First Trust's current valuation may reflect market-wide multiple expansion rather than genuine competitive edge.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the etf market challenging for First Trust investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of First Trust Value.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking First Trust through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful ETF developments. Reviewing First Trust Value notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes.
Latest headline from fool.com: Beacon Financial Buys 10 Million of TCW Flexible Income ETF
The fund retains 99.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price First Etf based on their assessment of First Trust's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving First Etf.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Relative positioning strengthens peer context in multi-asset comparisons.

For First Trust Value, this section uses fund disclosures and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Intraday timing differences may exist. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 4th, 2026