First Trust Large Etf Performance

FTC Etf  USD 158.64  -1.45  -0.91%   
The etf owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.08, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. First Trust returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, First Trust Large generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price tumult may contribute to shorter-term losses for shareholders. Learn More
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 16,394 in First Trust Large on December 11, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $-530.00 from holding First Trust Large or given up 3.23% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Large is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.1429% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Considering the 90-day investment horizon First Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 1.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of First Trust Large

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Large extending back to May 11, 2007. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 158.64, as last reported on the 11th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 158.64 and the lowest price hitting 158.64 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price forecasting for First Etf often builds on the principle of mean reversion, where prices tend to converge toward historical averages. While this pattern is broadly applicable across ETFs, persistent mispricings in some instruments highlight the role of additional risk factors in pricing dynamics.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
158.64 90 days 158.64
roughly 96.0
Based on probability analysis of this ETF, the likelihood of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This ETF probability distribution maps the expected range of First Etf prices over 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This usually indicates First Trust Large market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, First Trust is expected to follow. Additionally, First Trust Large has an alpha of 0.0107, implying that it can generate a 0.0107 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

No single forecasting method can reliably predict the ETF market, but the practice of applying multiple models to instruments like First Trust Large remains a core element of investment analysis. Comparing results helps investors build a more complete picture and prepare for a range of potential outcomes.
The degree to which First Trust's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
157.47158.61159.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
158.15159.29160.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
154.31155.46156.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
157.91162.18166.45
Details
Before investing in First Trust, assess how First Trust's compares to its competitive peer group. A company that appears undervalued in absolute terms may be fairly priced when measured against sector-relative benchmarks.

First Trust Risk Indicators

Over the past 10-20 years, the etf market has seen violent swings that have tested investor resolve. First Trust has been part of this volatility. Those holding First Trust Large should consider a hedging strategy that accounts for First Trust's changing volatility and market elasticity to limit downside losses.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

ETFs like First Trust can experience rapid changes in technical and fundamental conditions. Setting up alerts for First Trust Large ensures investors receive timely notifications about significant developments that may affect their positions.
First Trust Large generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Should First Trust Large Cap Growth AlphaDEX ETF Be on Your Investing Radar - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains 99.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance Analysis

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for First Trust Large is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.