First Trust Short Etf Performance

FSMB Etf  USD 20.16  0.01  0.05%   
The etf owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0078, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on First Trust Short rank lower than 24% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat strong primary indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
1
First Trust Short Duration Managed Municipal ETF declares 0.053 dividend
01/21/2026
2
First Trust Short Duration Managed Municipal ETF Sees Large Drop in Short Interest
02/13/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest 1,988 in First Trust Short on December 9, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 28.00 from holding First Trust Short or generate 1.41% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Short is currently generating 0.023% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.0737% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 0.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.82 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.31 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.01 per unit of risk.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Short extending back to November 27, 2018. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 20.16, as last reported on the 9th of March, with the highest price reaching 20.16 and the lowest price hitting 20.14 during the day.
 3 y Volatility
2.09
 200 Day MA
20.0333
 1 y Volatility
1.24
 50 Day MA
20.1345
 Inception Date
2018-11-01
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
20.16 90 days 20.16
about 13.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.93 (This First Trust Short probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust Short has a beta of -0.0078. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Trust Short is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Trust Short has an alpha of 0.012, implying that it can generate a 0.012 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
While mean reversion in First Trust's is a statistically observable tendency, it operates on uncertain timelines. Positions sized too aggressively against the trend can suffer sustained losses before reversion occurs.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0820.1520.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4518.5222.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0320.1120.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.1020.1720.23
Details
To derive maximum value from First Trust analysis, compare First Trust's metrics against peers. This cross-sectional approach separates idiosyncratic performance from sector-level trends.

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Short, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0078
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust Short Duration Managed Municipal ETF Sees Large Drop in Short Interest
The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

First Trust Performance and Risk-Adjusted Returns

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Benchmark comparison clarifies whether outcomes reflect exposure or implementation effects. Allocation modeling is used to understand how First Trust fits within diversified holdings.

Methodology

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Trust Short is derived from fund disclosures (prospectus language, holdings reports, and periodic statements where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on instrument type. First (USA Stocks:FSMB) market data and reported NAV may reflect delayed updates. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Return metrics, performance scores, and risk-adjusted figures shown here are computed from historical price series. Indicative intraday values (IIV), where published, may provide additional context for premium or discount behavior relative to reported NAV.

Assumptions

This report is built using public fund disclosures, holdings reports, and market data feeds and official sources including U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR. Normalization for analytical consistency may introduce small timing offsets. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.

Research Sources

First Trust Short may have reference inputs that incorporate holdings disclosures, category classification, and NAV-derived statistics where available. Updates may occur throughout the day.

Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: First Trust Short Duration Managed Municipal ETF Sees Large Drop in Short Interest
The fund retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

More Resources for First Etf Analysis

A comprehensive view of First Trust Short starts with financial statements and ratio context. Ratio context helps frame profitability, efficiency, and growth trends for First Trust Short Etf. Selected reports below provide context for First Etf:
Investing Opportunities provides context for diversified portfolio construction. Refined allocation visibility enhances overall portfolio context. This reflects a position in First Trust Short within the allocation view. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Analysis related to First Trust should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
First Trust Short market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on First balance sheet. Intrinsic value is an estimate of underlying worth, separate from trading price and book value. Market prices can move with sentiment and macro cycles, creating divergence from fundamentals. The valuation process compares these measures for perspective.
It is useful to distinguish First Trust's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. Reviewing financial results, valuation ratios, and competitive positioning helps frame the value discussion. The quoted price is simply the exchange level where supply meets demand.