Federated Short Term Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FSILX Fund  USD 8.52  -0.02  -0.23%   
The fund maintains a market beta of -0.0114, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on FEDERATED SHORT-TERM tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, FEDERATED SHORT-TERM is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Contained
 
Weak
 
Strong
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Federated Short Term Income is weaker than 5% of the funds and fund portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The business is commonly classified in the Short-Term Bond sector and the Large industry. Despite somewhat strong essential indicators, FEDERATED SHORT-TERM is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 848.00 in Federated Short Term Income on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 4.00 from holding Federated Short Term Income or generated 0.47% return on investment over 90 days. Federated Short Term Income is currently producing a 0.0079% return and carries 0.1256% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than FEDERATED, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming a 90-day horizon FEDERATED SHORT-TERM is expected to generate 0.15 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 6.57 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Federated Short Term

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Federated Short Term Income extending back to January 25, 2017. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of FEDERATED SHORT-TERM stands at 8.52, as last reported on the 19th of March, with the highest price reaching 8.52 and the lowest price hitting 8.52 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The mean-reverting behavior of FEDERATED Mutual Fund price is a cornerstone of quantitative forecasting. While this pattern has been used by investors since the earliest organized markets, research also shows that certain funds remain mispriced until demand-supply dynamics shift, suggesting embedded risk premiums.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
8.52 90 days 8.52
about 50.0
Probability analysis for this fund suggests that the odds of FEDERATED SHORT-TERM moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 50.0 (This density function estimates how FEDERATED Mutual Fund price is distributed across a range of outcomes over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon Federated Short Term Income has a beta of -0.0114. This usually indicates that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on FEDERATED SHORT-TERM tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, Federated Short Term Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Federated Short Term Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The fund is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FEDERATED SHORT-TERM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FEDERATED SHORT-TERM

For Federated Short Term, multiple forecasting techniques can provide different perspectives on future price direction. While accurately predicting the fund market remains difficult, the discipline of building and testing forecasts is a valuable part of any investment process. Unexpected events can always change market sentiment, making diversified forecasting approaches especially important.
The mean reversion effect in FEDERATED SHORT-TERM is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of FEDERATED SHORT-TERM's price dislocation is essential before acting.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.398.528.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.717.849.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.398.518.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.528.558.58
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of FEDERATED SHORT-TERM analysis. Understanding where Federated Short Term stands relative to its peers on returns, growth, and valuation helps investors assess whether its advantage is sustainable.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over recent decades, the mutual fund market has seen multiple large corrections and recoveries. FEDERATED SHORT-TERM has followed this pattern, with price swings that have shaped many portfolios. Investors holding Federated Short Term Income can reduce exposure to these swings by tracking FEDERATED SHORT-TERM's volatility and fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0038
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0114
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.68

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring FEDERATED SHORT-TERM alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material fund changes. These notifications for Federated Short Term cover developments in both technical signals and fundamental conditions relevant to investment timing.
The fund retains about 15.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

FEDERATED SHORT-TERM Fundamentals Growth

The market value of FEDERATED Mutual Fund depends on how investors perceive FEDERATED SHORT-TERM's financial strength and growth potential. Core fundamentals including revenue growth, earnings quality, and debt management directly influence FEDERATED Mutual Fund performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

FEDERATED SHORT-TERM performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Upside capture and downside containment can vary by regime.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Federated Short Term Income is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 10th, 2026