First Northern Community Stock Performance

FNRN Stock  USD 14.09  0.19  1.37%   
First Northern has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company has a beta of -0.0371, which indicates relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. the mildly negative beta suggests First Northern provides a partial hedge against market-wide declines. First Northern Community currently has a risk of 1.4%. Please check First Northern Community the relationship between the skewness and day typical price.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, First Northern Community sits below 9% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Current market capitalization is about 123.88 Million. In spite of very weak basic indicators, First Northern may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow267.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-186.4 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,282 in First Northern Community on December 17, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 127.00 from holding First Northern Community or generated 9.91% return on investment over 90 days. First Northern Community is currently generating a 0.1671% daily expected return and carries 1.3952% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 12% of otc stocks are less volatile than First, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northern is expected to generate 1.76 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.76 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.03 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in First OTC Stock pricing reflects the well-documented tendency for stocks to converge toward their intrinsic value over time. Forecasting models leverage this pattern, though they must also account for periods when market dynamics keep prices away from equilibrium.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
14.09 90 days 14.09
about 8.18
Our statistical analysis indicates the probability of First Northern moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.18 (This chart shows the likelihood of First OTC Stock trading at different price levels over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northern Community has a beta of -0.0371. This usually indicates that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on First Northern tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, First Northern Community is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, First Northern Community has an alpha of 0.1457, implying that it can generate a 0.1457 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Northern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Northern

When forecasting First Northern Community, investors benefit from applying a variety of techniques rather than relying on a single method. The otc stock market is inherently unpredictable, but systematic comparison of different model outputs helps investors develop a more balanced perspective and prepare for alternative scenarios.
Experienced First Northern's investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8814.2815.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0712.4715.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7914.1915.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0213.7814.55
Details
The most actionable insights from First Northern analysis often emerge from peer comparison rather than standalone review. First Northern's metrics gain meaning when benchmarked against the best and worst performers in its sector.

Primary Risk Indicators

Dramatic market swings over the past two decades have made risk management essential for otc stock investors. First Northern has been affected by sudden drops and strong recoveries alike. A hedging approach that tracks First Northern's volatility and fundamental risk indicators can help investors in First Northern Community limit the impact of adverse moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0371
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Investor Alerts and Insights

For First Northern investors, automated alerts provide a systematic way to monitor the stock for actionable developments. First Northern Community notifications highlight changes in key indicators that could influence investment decisions.

Price Density Drivers

Understanding First Northern's price drivers helps investors evaluate the current balance of market forces. The dynamics between buyers and sellers, including short-seller activity, often determine near-term volatility patterns. Key indicators for First Northern are shown below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments345.9 M

First Northern Fundamentals Growth

Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are among the most critical fundamentals shaping First OTC Stock valuation. Investors rely on these metrics to evaluate First Northern's current position and future prospects.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Northern performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Correlation shifts can alter portfolio contribution during regime changes. First Northern shows ROE of 10.71%, ROA of 0.74%.

Macroaxis compiles First Northern Community metrics from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and applies consistent transformation rules before display. Not all fields update in real time. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 2nd, 2026