Federated Government Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FITSX Fund  USD 9.16  0.04  0.44%   
The fund maintains a market beta of 0.0217, which implies relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Returns on FEDERATED GOVERNMENT tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, Federated Government Income sits below 5% of comparable funds and fund portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. Current market capitalization is about 9.0. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, FEDERATED GOVERNMENT is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date31st of March 2025
Expense Ratio0.8400
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 907.00 in Federated Government Income on December 16, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 9.00 from holding Federated Government Income or generated 0.99% return on investment over 90 days. Federated Government Income is currently producing a 0.0162% return and carries 0.216% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than FEDERATED, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon FEDERATED GOVERNMENT is expected to generate 0.27 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 3.65 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Federated Government

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Federated Government Income extending back to November 05, 1993. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of FEDERATED GOVERNMENT stands at 9.16, as last reported on the 16th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 9.16 and the lowest price hitting 9.16 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For FEDERATED Mutual Fund, the observed tendency of price to return to a central value is a key input to forecasting models. This mean reversion pattern, however, does not apply uniformly - some funds remain mispriced for extended periods, suggesting that embedded risk premiums affect the speed of correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
9.16 90 days 9.16
about 38.01
According to a normal distribution model, the odds of FEDERATED GOVERNMENT moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 38.01 (The density curve for Federated Government Income shows where FEDERATED Mutual Fund price is most likely to settle within 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon FEDERATED GOVERNMENT has a beta of 0.0217. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FEDERATED GOVERNMENT's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Federated Government Income is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Federated Government Income has an alpha of 0.0046, implying that it can generate a 0.0046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   FEDERATED GOVERNMENT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FEDERATED GOVERNMENT

A wide range of forecasting techniques can be applied to Federated Government and the broader fund market. While market prediction remains inherently uncertain, combining multiple approaches and evaluating their results is one of the most effective ways to improve the quality of investment decisions.
Mean reversion in FEDERATED GOVERNMENT is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.919.129.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.939.149.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.839.049.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.129.219.29
Details
Effective investment decisions about FEDERATED GOVERNMENT require competitive context. Benchmarking FEDERATED GOVERNMENT's against peers on earnings quality, growth consistency, and balance sheet strength can materially change the investment conclusion.

Primary Risk Indicators

The mutual fund market's recent history has been defined by volatility, with multiple large corrections and rallies in the last 10-20 years. FEDERATED GOVERNMENT has participated in these swings. Investors holding Federated Government Income can protect their portfolios by monitoring FEDERATED GOVERNMENT's risk indicators and implementing appropriate hedging strategies.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0046
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Investor Alerts and Insights

Investors in FEDERATED GOVERNMENT benefit from automated alerts that flag material fund changes as they occur. Federated Government notifications cover technical signals, fundamental shifts, and notable headlines that may impact investment timing.
Latest headline from news.google.com: One-size-fits-none supervision - Funds Europe
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Federated Government retains about 5.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

FEDERATED GOVERNMENT Fundamentals Growth

The market prices FEDERATED Mutual Fund according to FEDERATED GOVERNMENT's ability to generate revenue growth, maintain healthy margins, and manage debt effectively. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on FEDERATED Mutual Fund performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

FEDERATED GOVERNMENT performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost.

The analytics block for Federated Government Income relies on fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Timing can vary by data vendor. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 28th, 2026