Federated Government Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FICMX Fund  USD 9.18  0.01  0.11%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0792, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Federated Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Federated Government is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federated Government Income are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Federated Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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FICMX Stock Fund Price and Chart NASDAQFICMX - TradingView Track All Markets
12/22/2025
Expense Ratio Date31st of March 2025
Expense Ratio0.6400
  

Federated Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  908.00  in Federated Government Income on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Federated Government Income or generate 1.1% return on investment over 90 days. Federated Government Income is currently producing 0.0184% returns and takes up 0.194% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Federated, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Government is expected to generate 3.41 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.87 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Federated Government Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.18
Please note that Federated Government's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Federated Government shows a prevailing Real Value of $9.17 per share. The current price of the fund is $9.18. We determine the value of Federated Government from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Federated Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federated Mutual Fund. However, Federated Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.18 Real  9.17 Hype  9.18 Naive  9.16
The intrinsic value of Federated Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Federated Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.17
Real Value
9.36
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federated Government Income helps investors to forecast how Federated mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federated Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federated Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.129.169.20
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.999.189.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.969.169.35
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Federated Government Income extending back to May 15, 1986. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Federated Government stands at 9.18, as last reported on the 30th of January, with the highest price reaching 9.18 and the lowest price hitting 9.18 during the day.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Federated Government Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.18 90 days 9.18 
about 6.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Government to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.1 (This Federated Government Income probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Government has a beta of 0.0792. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federated Government average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federated Government Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federated Government Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Federated Government Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federated Government

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Government. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.999.189.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.989.179.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.969.169.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.129.169.20
Details

Federated Government Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Government Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0039
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Federated Government Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Government can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Federated Government retains about 12.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Federated Government Fundamentals Growth

Federated Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federated Government, and Federated Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federated Mutual Fund performance.

About Federated Government Performance

Evaluating Federated Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Federated Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federated Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests primarily in mortgage-backed securities of investment-grade quality and seeks to provide returns consistent with investments in the market for U.S. home mortgages. It will invest in MBS that are issued or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or U.S. government-sponsored enterprises . The fund also may invest in U.S. government securities and certain derivative instruments.

Things to note about Federated Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Federated Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
Federated Government retains about 12.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Federated Government's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federated Government's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Federated Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federated Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federated Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federated Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federated Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federated Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Federated Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federated Government's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federated Government's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Government security.
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