First Mining Gold Stock Performance

FF Stock  CAD 0.53  0.01  1.92%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Mining holds a performance score of 3. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.29, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Mining is expected to be smaller as well. Please confirm First Mining's relationship between the skewness and day median price, to make a quick decision on whether First Mining's historical returns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of First Mining Gold is weaker than 3% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. Current market capitalization is about 718.51 Million. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, First Mining displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow12.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-17.9 M
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 51.00 in First Mining Gold on December 16, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of C$ 2.00 from holding First Mining Gold or generated 3.92% return on investment over 90 days. First Mining Gold is currently producing a 0.2024% return and carries 5.3356% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 47% of traded stocks are less volatile than First, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming a 90-day horizon First Mining is expected to generate 6.7 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.7 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price forecasting for First Stock often builds on the principle of mean reversion, where prices tend to converge toward historical averages. While this pattern is broadly applicable across stocks, persistent mispricings in some instruments highlight the role of additional risk factors in pricing dynamics.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
0.53 90 days 0.53
about 85.19
Based on probability analysis of this stock, the likelihood of First Mining moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.19 (This stock probability distribution maps the expected range of First Stock prices over 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon First Mining has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Mining's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Mining Gold is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Mining Gold has an alpha of 0.2, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Mining

No single forecasting method can reliably predict the stock market, but the practice of applying multiple models to instruments like First Mining Gold remains a core element of investment analysis. Comparing results helps investors build a more complete picture and prepare for a range of potential outcomes.
The degree to which First Mining's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.535.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.505.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.525.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.530.600.67
Details
Before investing in First Mining, assess how First Mining's compares to its competitive peer group. A company that appears undervalued in absolute terms may be fairly priced when measured against sector-relative benchmarks.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past 10-20 years, the stock market has seen violent swings that have tested investor resolve. First Mining has been part of this volatility. Those holding First Mining Gold should consider a hedging strategy that accounts for First Mining's changing volatility and market elasticity to limit downside losses.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Investor Alerts and Insights

Stocks like First Mining can experience rapid changes in technical and fundamental conditions. Setting up alerts for First Mining Gold ensures investors receive timely notifications about significant developments that may affect their positions.
First Mining Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
First Mining Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Mining Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was -15.31 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Mining Gold has accumulated about 2.45 M in cash with -3.95 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.

Price Density Drivers

Price density analysis for First Mining focuses on the forces that drive short-term price movements. The indicators below highlight key market dynamics including the balance between long and short positioning, volume patterns, and volatility trends.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding971.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 M

First Mining Fundamentals Growth

First Mining's revenue trajectory, earnings quality, and financial leverage are the key fundamentals that drive First Stock market valuation. Investors who track these metrics gain a clearer view of the forces shaping First Stock price behavior.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Mining performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles. First Mining shows ROE of -11.98%, ROA of -6.01%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Mining Gold is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 27th, 2026