First Eagle Value Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FEVIX Fund  USD 23.82  -0.29  -1.20%   
The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.69, which attests to generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. FIRST EAGLE moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, First Eagle Value produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for fund investors. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. Despite somewhat strong forward indicators, FIRST EAGLE is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio0.8800
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,405 in First Eagle Value on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 23.00 from holding First Eagle Value or given up 0.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Eagle Value is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.7869% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than FIRST, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon FIRST EAGLE is expected to generate 0.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.04 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of First Eagle Value

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Eagle Value extending back to October 05, 2001. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of FIRST EAGLE stands at 23.82, as last reported on the 22nd of March, with the highest price reaching 23.82 and the lowest price hitting 23.82 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For FIRST Mutual Fund, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some funds are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
23.82 90 days 23.82
more than 94.0
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of FIRST EAGLE moving above the current price in 90 days from now are more than 94.0 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of FIRST Mutual Fund prices over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon FIRST EAGLE has a beta of 0.69. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FIRST EAGLE's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Eagle Value is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Eagle Value has an alpha of 0.0603, implying that it can generate a 0.0603 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   FIRST EAGLE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FIRST EAGLE

Accurately predicting the fund market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For First Eagle Value, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process - comparing methods and results provides context to develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to FIRST EAGLE's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.0323.8224.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8921.6826.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.7323.5124.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.8125.1326.46
Details
Peer comparison enriches FIRST EAGLE analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the mutual fund market, and FIRST EAGLE has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in First Eagle Value should monitor FIRST EAGLE's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.70
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for FIRST EAGLE give investors a structured way to monitor the fund for material events. First Eagle Value notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.
First Eagle Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading
The fund retains about 7.75% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

FIRST EAGLE Fundamentals Growth

FIRST Mutual Fund performance is fundamentally tied to FIRST EAGLE's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for FIRST Mutual Fund.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

FIRST EAGLE performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Inputs for First Eagle Value come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 16th, 2026