First Trust Developed Etf Performance

FDTS Etf  USD 65.36  0.25  0.38%   
The etf owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.84, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Balanced
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on First Trust Developed rank lower than 13% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. The main point is that return should be judged together with the volatility required to produce it. In spite of comparatively abnormal basic indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 5,816 in First Trust Developed on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 695.00 from holding First Trust Developed or generated 11.95% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Developed is currently generating a 0.1948% daily expected return and carries 1.1447% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 10% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the ETF over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 1.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the ETF is 1.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of First Trust Developed

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Developed extending back to February 16, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 65.36, as last reported on the 20th of March, with the highest price reaching 65.36 and the lowest price hitting 65.11 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price forecasting for First Etf often builds on the principle of mean reversion, where prices tend to converge toward historical averages. While this pattern is broadly applicable across ETFs, persistent mispricings in some instruments highlight the role of additional risk factors in pricing dynamics.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
65.36 90 days 65.36
about 39.81
Based on probability analysis of this ETF, the likelihood of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.81 (This ETF probability distribution maps the expected range of First Etf prices over 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Trust Developed is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Trust Developed has an alpha of 0.2588, implying that it can generate a 0.2588 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

No single forecasting method can reliably predict the ETF market, but the practice of applying multiple models to instruments like First Trust Developed remains a core element of investment analysis. Comparing results supports building a more complete picture and prepare for a range of potential outcomes.
The degree to which First Trust's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.9765.1166.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.6070.9272.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.4664.6065.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.4468.3373.21
Details
Evaluating First Trust in context means comparing First Trust's to its competitive peer group. A company estimated as undervalued in absolute terms may be differently positioned when measured against sector-relative benchmarks.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past 10-20 years, the etf market has seen violent swings that have tested investor resolve. First Trust has been part of this volatility. Those holding First Trust Developed should consider a hedging strategy that accounts for First Trust's changing volatility and market elasticity to limit downside losses.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
4.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.24

Investor Alerts and Insights

ETFs like First Trust can experience rapid changes in technical and fundamental conditions. Setting up alerts for First Trust Developed ensures investors receive timely notifications about significant developments that may affect their positions.
The fund retains 98.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Trust's revenue trajectory, earnings quality, and financial leverage are the key fundamentals that drive First Etf market valuation. Investors who track these metrics gain a clearer view of the forces shaping First Etf price behavior.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Risk-return balance shapes allocation context across cycles.

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Trust Developed is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 3rd, 2026