First Capital Real Stock Performance

FCXXF Stock  USD 15.53  0.13  0.84%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, First Capital holds a performance score of 25. The company has a beta of 0.12, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Capital is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Capital's relationship between the Kurtosis and period momentum indicator, to make a quick decision on whether First Capital's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, First Capital Real sits below 25% of comparable global equities and portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, First Capital reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,334 in First Capital Real on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 219.00 from holding First Capital Real or generated 16.42% return on investment over 90 days. First Capital Real is currently producing a 0.2568% return and carries 0.8045% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon First Capital is expected to generate 0.97 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.03 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.32 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
15.53 90 days 15.53
about 7.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Capital moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 7.19 (This First Capital Real probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon First Capital has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Capital's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding First Capital Real is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, First Capital Real has an alpha of 0.2334, implying that it can generate a 0.2334 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   First Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the pink sheet market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as First Capital Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7315.5316.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.9817.6818.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7015.5016.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.0315.3015.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the pink sheet market. First Capital is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards First Capital's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold First Capital Real, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Capital within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.40

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to First Capital help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for First Capital Real is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
First Capital Real has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
First Capital Real has accumulated $3.57 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is broadly in line with comparable companies. First Capital Real has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist First Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Capital Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The company reported revenue of 693.1 M. Net Loss for the year was -160 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 444.61 M.
Latest headline from news.google.com: AI giant Nvidia made 120 billion in profit last year. Investors are still spooked. - NBC News

First Capital Fundamentals Growth

First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Capital, and First Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

First Capital performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. First Capital shows ROE of -3.55%, ROA of 2.5%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for First Capital Real is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 22nd, 2026