ProShares Trust Etf Performance

ETHT Etf   15.87  -0.67  -4.05%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 4.92, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the ETF is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ProShares Trust will likely underperform.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
ProShares Trust has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the etf's technical indicators remain comparatively stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the exchange-traded fund's private investors. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,784 in ProShares Trust on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 2,197 from holding ProShares Trust or given up 58.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. ProShares Trust does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 9.7733% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 87% of etfs are less volatile than ProShares, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the ETF over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares Trust is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 11.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The concept of mean reversion - where ProShares Etf price gravitates toward an equilibrium value - is fundamental to market analysis. While this pattern holds broadly, certain ETFs can remain mispriced for extended periods before supply and demand forces bring them back in line.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
15.87 90 days 15.87
about 82.17
Statistical modeling indicates that the probability of ProShares Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.17 (This ETF probability density function maps the likelihood of ProShares Etf reaching different price levels over 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 4.92 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the ETF is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ProShares Trust will likely underperform. Additionally, ProShares Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ProShares Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares Trust

The ETF market offers a wide variety of forecasting techniques that range from fundamental analysis to machine learning models. For instruments like ProShares Trust, no single approach dominates, but the practice of forecasting itself remains an essential element of the investment process. Comparing results across methods can improve accuracy, even in unpredictable markets.
Experienced investors tracking ProShares Trust's watch for mean reversion setups: periods when price has deviated significantly from its long-run average, creating an asymmetric risk-reward profile for patient capital.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.0014.6924.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.8615.5525.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.3711.0620.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0115.0518.09
Details
Context is everything in equity analysis. ProShares Trust's growth rates, margins, and multiples must be compared to direct competitors to determine whether it represents genuine value or simply average sector performance.

Primary Risk Indicators

Volatility has been a defining feature of the etf market in recent decades, and ProShares Trust has reflected that pattern. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors. Those holding ProShares Trust should look out for changes in ProShares Trust's volatility and market elasticity as part of a disciplined risk management approach.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5593
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.92
σ
Overall volatility
12.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.0926

Investor Alerts and Insights

For investors following ProShares Trust, automated alerts provide early signals of meaningful shifts in ETF dynamics. Checking ProShares Trust notifications regularly is a straightforward way to stay on top of actionable developments.
ProShares Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ProShares Trust has high historical volatility and very poor performance
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Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

ProShares Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Return persistence supports interpretability across rolling windows.

Reported values for ProShares Trust are derived from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and then standardized by Macroaxis analytics. Refresh times depend on source availability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 15th, 2026