EPAM Systems Stock Performance

EPAM Stock  USD 135.73  0.01  0.01%   
The firm owns a Beta of 1.66, which signifies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, EPAM Systems will likely underperform. At this point, EPAM Systems has a negative expected return of -0.63%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, EPAM Systems generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. Current market capitalization is about 7.5 Billion. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm's investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-1.24
 Five Day Return
0.15
 Year To Date Return
-32.30
 Ten Year Return
91.86
 All Time Return
869.43
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-49 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 20,908 in EPAM Systems on December 24, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 7,335 from holding EPAM Systems or given up 35.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. EPAM Systems does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 3.8591% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than EPAM, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given the investment horizon of 90 days EPAM Systems is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.55 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of EPAM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a well-known pattern in finance. Despite this pattern, historical data suggests that some stocks remain persistently mispriced until markets correct.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
135.73 90 days 135.73
about 90.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EPAM Systems moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 90.55 . That keeps the near-term bias tilted toward stronger price outcomes for this stock. (The density curve centers on the price range the market has recently treated as most probable for EPAM Stock over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, EPAM Systems will likely underperform. Additionally, EPAM Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EPAM Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EPAM Systems

Numerous approaches exist for forecasting the stock market and estimating future values of EPAM Systems. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling scenarios is a valuable part of decision-making.
Experienced market participants anticipate that EPAM Systems' price will even out over time. Periods when EPAM Systems' deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
130.22134.08137.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.16159.92163.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
119.95123.81127.66
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
173.97191.18212.21
Details
Analyzing EPAM Systems in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market, and EPAM Systems is no exception. EPAM Systems has experienced periods of rapid price declines followed by equally strong recoveries.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4538
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.66
σ
Overall volatility
34.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.1336

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to EPAM Systems help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. EPAM Systems notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions.
EPAM Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
EPAM Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
EPAM Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
EPAM Systems has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: EPAM Systems, Inc. Investigated by the Portnoy Law Firm

Price Density Drivers

Price dynamics for EPAM Stock are shaped by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. Key indicators for EPAM Systems capture the primary forces influencing short-term price behavior.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

EPAM Systems Fundamentals Growth

EPAM Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of EPAM Systems's future prospects and financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels shape EPAM Stock market performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

EPAM Systems performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. EPAM Systems shows ROE of 10.34%, ROA of 7.55%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for EPAM Systems is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Ellen Johnson - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 23rd, 2026