PT Merdeka (Indonesia) Performance

EMAS Stock   7,700  -225.00  -2.84%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, PT Merdeka holds a performance score of 10. The company has a beta of 0.25, which implies relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Returns on PT Merdeka tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. Please check PT Merdeka's the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation, to make a quick decision on whether PT Merdeka's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
PT Merdeka Gold currently ranks below 10% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. Business context should still be reviewed beside valuation, volatility, and current market behavior. Despite quite conflicting forward-looking signals, PT Merdeka disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested IDR 535,000 in PT Merdeka Gold on December 16, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of IDR 235,000 from holding PT Merdeka Gold or generated 43.93% return on investment over 90 days. PT Merdeka Gold is generating a 0.713% daily return and shows 5.1519% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 46% of stocks are less volatile than EMAS, and 86% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon PT Merdeka is expected to generate 6.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward average levels. For EMAS Stock, this pattern serves as a foundation for forecasting, even though some stocks exhibit persistent deviations before market forces correct the imbalance.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
7,700 90 days 7,700
about 16.71
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of PT Merdeka moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 16.71 (The probability curve for PT Merdeka Gold shows the likelihood of EMAS Stock falling within specific price ranges over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon PT Merdeka has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, PT Merdeka's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding PT Merdeka Gold is expected to be smaller as well. Moreover, PT Merdeka Gold has an alpha of 1.1312, implying that it can generate a 1.1312 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   PT Merdeka Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PT Merdeka

Investors use a wide range of techniques to forecast PT Merdeka Gold and the stock market. From technical pattern analysis to statistical models, each approach has strengths and limitations. The most effective strategy is often to combine methods and compare results, recognizing that market uncertainty limits the precision of any individual forecast.
Mean reversion traders in PT Merdeka's look for price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm, then position for the reversion that typically follows when the initial catalyst fades.
When analyzing PT Merdeka, investors should assess its competitive position relative to sector peers. A company that looks attractive in isolation may be significantly outperformed by competitors on the same metrics.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors. PT Merdeka has been subject to both sudden drops and powerful rallies during this period. Monitoring PT Merdeka's risk indicators and implementing protective strategies can help investors in PT Merdeka Gold limit downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1,217
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Investor Alerts and Insights

In a fast-moving market, alerts for PT Merdeka provide a critical advantage by highlighting shifts in stock conditions before they become widely recognized. PT Merdeka Gold notifications help investors time the market and increase returns more effectively.
PT Merdeka Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PT Merdeka Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

PT Merdeka performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Return dispersion influences exposure sizing in portfolio modeling.

The analytics block for PT Merdeka Gold relies on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Timing can vary by data vendor. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 5th, 2026