Defsec Technologies Stock Performance
| DFSCW Stock | 0.05 0.01 20.00% |
DEFSEC Technologies holds a performance score of 19 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.2, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, DEFSEC Technologies will likely underperform. Use DEFSEC Technologies jensen alpha and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to analyze future returns on DEFSEC Technologies.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in DEFSEC Technologies are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly fragile fundamental indicators, DEFSEC Technologies showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1 | Is DEFSEC Technologies on the Verge of a Breakthrough - timothysykes.com | 10/31/2025 |
2 | DEFSEC Technologies Sets February 12, 2026 Shareholder Meeting to Vote on Directors and Long-Term Incentive Plan - TipRanks | 01/22/2026 |
3 | DEFSEC Technologies Reports Q1 2026 Interim Results with Narrowed Net Loss - TipRanks | 02/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 256.8 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -180.4 K |
DEFSEC Technologies Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2.01 in DEFSEC Technologies on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 2.79 from holding DEFSEC Technologies or generate 138.81% return on investment over 90 days. DEFSEC Technologies is currently producing 3.5393% returns and takes up 14.1332% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than DEFSEC, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
DEFSEC Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of DEFSEC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.05 | about 10.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEFSEC Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.05 (This DEFSEC Technologies probability density function shows the probability of DEFSEC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
DEFSEC Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DEFSEC Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEFSEC Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DEFSEC Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DEFSEC Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEFSEC Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEFSEC Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEFSEC Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEFSEC Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
DEFSEC Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEFSEC Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEFSEC Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEFSEC Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DEFSEC Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWESST Micro Systems and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWESW. | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DEFSEC Technologies Reports Q1 2026 Interim Results with Narrowed Net Loss - TipRanks |
DEFSEC Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DEFSEC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DEFSEC Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DEFSEC Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 610.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
DEFSEC Technologies Fundamentals Growth
DEFSEC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of DEFSEC Technologies, and DEFSEC Technologies fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on DEFSEC Stock performance.
| Revenue | 4.94 M | |||
| EBITDA | (8.29 M) | |||
| Net Income | (9.63 M) | |||
| Total Debt | 1.3 M | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.96 M) | |||
| Total Asset | 12.92 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (52.28 M) | |||
| Working Capital | 6.03 M | |||
About DEFSEC Technologies Performance
Evaluating DEFSEC Technologies' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if DEFSEC Technologies has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if DEFSEC Technologies has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 68.06 | 64.66 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.82) | (0.86) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.82) | (0.86) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.67) | (0.70) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.42) | (1.35) |
Things to note about DEFSEC Technologies performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about DEFSEC Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for DEFSEC Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEFSEC Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| DEFSEC Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| DEFSEC Technologies was previously known as KWESST Micro Systems and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol KWESW. | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.94 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| DEFSEC Technologies generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| DEFSEC Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DEFSEC Technologies Reports Q1 2026 Interim Results with Narrowed Net Loss - TipRanks |
- Analyzing DEFSEC Technologies' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether DEFSEC Technologies' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining DEFSEC Technologies' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating DEFSEC Technologies' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of DEFSEC Technologies' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of DEFSEC Technologies' stock. These opinions can provide insight into DEFSEC Technologies' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for DEFSEC Stock Analysis
When running DEFSEC Technologies' price analysis, check to measure DEFSEC Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DEFSEC Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of DEFSEC Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DEFSEC Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DEFSEC Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DEFSEC Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.