Carters Stock Performance

CRI Stock  USD 34.67  0.28  0.81%   
Carters has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company has a beta of 1.36, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. With a beta above 1, Carters typically delivers outsized gains in rising markets at the cost of steeper drawdowns. Carters currently has a risk of 3.69%. Please check Carters the relationship between the downside variance and day median price.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Carters rank lower than 3% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. The business is commonly classified in the Consumer Cyclical sector and the Apparel Retail industry. Despite fairly uncertain basic indicators, Carters may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2026. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
0.81
 Five Day Return
2.85
 Year To Date Return
4.43
 Ten Year Return
-66.05
 All Time Return
181.41
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0288
 Payout Ratio
0.2882
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Forward Dividend Rate
1
 Dividend Date
2026-03-27
Begin Period Cash Flow412.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-53.7 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 3,245 in Carters on December 16, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 222.00 from holding Carters or generated 6.84% return on investment over 90 days. Carters is generating a 0.1788% daily return assuming volatility of 3.6945% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Carters, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This market-relative note looks at return potential and the amount of risk required to get it. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Considering the 90-day investment horizon Carters is expected to generate 4.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.06 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in Carters Stock pricing reflects the well-documented tendency for stocks to converge toward their intrinsic value over time. Forecasting models leverage this pattern, though they must also account for periods when market dynamics keep prices away from equilibrium.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
34.67 90 days 34.67
about 58.05
Our statistical analysis indicates the probability of Carters moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.05 (This chart shows the likelihood of Carters Stock trading at different price levels over the next 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.36 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carters will likely underperform. Additionally, Carters has an alpha of 0.2961, implying that it can generate a 0.2961 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Carters Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carters

When forecasting Carters, investors benefit from applying a variety of techniques rather than relying on a single method. The stock market is inherently unpredictable, but systematic comparison of different model outputs helps investors develop a more balanced perspective and prepare for alternative scenarios.
Experienced Carters' investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.9734.6738.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7230.4238.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.4632.1635.86
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.6737.0041.07
Details
The most actionable insights from Carters analysis often emerge from peer comparison rather than standalone review. Carters' metrics gain meaning when benchmarked against the best and worst performers in its sector.

Primary Risk Indicators

Dramatic market swings over the past two decades have made risk management essential for stock investors. Carters has been affected by sudden drops and strong recoveries alike. A hedging approach that tracks Carters' volatility and fundamental risk indicators can help investors in Carters limit the impact of adverse moves.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.36
σ
Overall volatility
3.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Investor Alerts and Insights

For Carters investors, automated alerts provide a systematic way to monitor the stock for actionable developments. Carters notifications highlight changes in key indicators that could influence investment decisions.
Carters had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: New Sales Guidance And Payouts Could Be A Game Changer For Carters

Price Density Drivers

Understanding Carters' price drivers helps investors evaluate the current balance of market forces. The dynamics between buyers and sellers, including short-seller activity, often determine near-term volatility patterns. Key indicators for Carters are shown below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments487.1 M

Carters Fundamentals Growth

Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are among the most critical fundamentals shaping Carters Stock valuation. Investors rely on these metrics to evaluate Carters' current position and future prospects.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Carters performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Correlation shifts can alter portfolio contribution during regime changes. Carters shows ROE of 10.32%, ROA of 3.6%.

Macroaxis compiles Carters metrics from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and applies consistent transformation rules before display. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Not all fields update in real time. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 1st, 2026