Clearfield Stock Performance

CLFD Stock  USD 28.71  -0.85  -2.88%   
The company shows a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.04, which implies elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Market upswings tend to lift Clearfield more than average, but downturns carry a proportionally larger impact on returns. At this point, Clearfield has a negative expected return of -0.036%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, Clearfield generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. This reading is usually reviewed beside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior before conviction is increased. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Clearfield is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price tumult may contribute to shorter-term losses for shareholders. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-2.88
 Five Day Return
0.91
 Year To Date Return
-2.64
 Ten Year Return
89.38
 All Time Return
1.6 K
Begin Period Cash Flow14.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-8.8 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 2,994 in Clearfield on December 27, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 123.00 from holding Clearfield or given up 4.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Clearfield does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.5877% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Clearfield, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Clearfield is expected to generate 3.03 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in Clearfield Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
28.71 90 days 28.71
about 91.65
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Clearfield moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.65 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Clearfield Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Clearfield Stock over this horizon.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.04 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Clearfield will likely underperform. Additionally, Clearfield has an alpha of 0.1847, implying that it can generate a 0.1847 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Clearfield Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Clearfield

Predicting the direction of Clearfield involves a range of quantitative and qualitative stock techniques. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Clearfield.
Mean reversion is the tendency of Clearfield's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Clearfield's price extremes to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1428.7131.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.9629.5332.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.9330.5033.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.1330.0833.03
Details
Competitive analysis for Clearfield compares its financial performance and valuation against sector peers. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Clearfield. Clearfield has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Investor Alerts and Insights

Staying informed about Clearfield through targeted alerts gives investors the edge they need to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Clearfield help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.
Clearfield generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported previous year's revenue of 150.13 M. Net Loss for the year was -8.05 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 53.25 M.
About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Wall Street Zen Upgrades The Hackett Group to Buy

Price Density Drivers

Price movements in Clearfield are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14 M
Cash And Short Term Investments106 M

Clearfield Fundamentals Growth

The market price of Clearfield Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Clearfield's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Clearfield Stock pricing.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Clearfield measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Maximum drawdown depth defines the worst observed loss from peak, framing downside exposure. Clearfield shows ROE of 2.47%, ROA of 0.51%.

Inputs for Clearfield come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 24th, 2026