Cleveland Cliffs Stock Performance

CLF Stock  USD 8.49  -0.05  -0.59%   
The company maintains a Market Sensitivity (Beta) of 1.82, which means elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cleveland Cliffs will likely underperform. At this point, Cleveland Cliffs has a negative expected return of -0.65%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Cleveland Cliffs has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. Current market capitalization is about 4.87 Billion. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the stock's essential indicators remain nearly stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company's stockholders. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-0.59
 Five Day Return
4.81
 Year To Date Return
-37.57
 Ten Year Return
204.3
 All Time Return
210.99
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Dividend Date
2020-04-15
 Ex Dividend Date
2020-04-02
 Last Split Date
2008-05-16
Begin Period Cash Flow60 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-479 M

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,349 in Cleveland Cliffs on December 27, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 500.00 from holding Cleveland Cliffs or given up 37.06% of portfolio value over 90 days. Cleveland Cliffs is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.2492% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 38% of stocks are less volatile than Cleveland, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cleveland Cliffs is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.98 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.15 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Cleveland Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some stocks highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where Cleveland Stock price is likely to settle over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
8.49 90 days 8.49
more than 94.0
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Cleveland Cliffs moving above the current price in 90 days from now at more than 94.0 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Cleveland Cliffs distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Cleveland Stock over a 90-day period).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cleveland Cliffs will likely underperform. Additionally, Cleveland Cliffs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cleveland Cliffs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cleveland Cliffs

Investors use a wide range of techniques to forecast Cleveland Cliffs within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level investors can assign to Cleveland Cliffs predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in Cleveland Cliffs price data. For Cleveland Cliffs, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Cleveland Cliffs' can be observed through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Investors who believe in mean reversion view Cleveland Cliffs' price extremes as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Valuation-driven investors use mean reversion to time Cleveland Cliffs' investments around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Cleveland Cliffs shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.238.4812.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.4310.6814.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.287.5311.78
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.9013.0814.52
Details
Assessing Cleveland Cliffs's competitive position relative to sector peers reveals where the company stands in its industry. Cleveland Cliffs' current valuation may reflect market-wide multiple expansion rather than genuine competitive edge. Competitive analysis of Cleveland Cliffs involves measuring Cleveland Cliffs' position against direct competitors. Investment merit for Cleveland Cliffs is best assessed through the lens of competitive peer performance.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Cleveland Cliffs investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Cleveland Cliffs. Watching for changes in Cleveland Cliffs' volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of Cleveland Cliffs risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4499
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.82
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.123

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Cleveland Cliffs through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Cleveland Cliffs notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of Cleveland Cliffs through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of Cleveland Cliffs cannot match.
Cleveland Cliffs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cleveland Cliffs has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported last year's revenue of 18.61 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was -1.43 B with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of -860 M.
Cleveland Cliffs has about 57 M in cash with -462 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Cleveland Cliffs has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Look At Cleveland-Cliffs Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Cleveland Cliffs' price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Cleveland Cliffs' price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for Cleveland Cliffs reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are most useful when reviewed consistently alongside Cleveland Cliffs's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding492.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments57 M

Cleveland Cliffs Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Cleveland Stock based on their assessment of Cleveland Cliffs' financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Cleveland Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping Cleveland Stock. Long-term performance of Cleveland Stock depends on Cleveland Cliffs' ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for Cleveland Cliffs evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Price behavior may show elevated responsiveness to broader market cycles. Cleveland Cliffs shows ROE of -21.58%, ROA of -3.78%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for Cleveland Cliffs is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 18th, 2026