21Shares Bitcoin (Switzerland) Performance

CBTC Etf   13.60  -0.40  -2.86%   
The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.15, which alludes to relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Returns on 21Shares Bitcoin tend to move against the broader market, though the counter-movement is modest relative to the index.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, 21Shares Bitcoin Core produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. This reading is usually reviewed beside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior before conviction is increased. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the etf's basic indicators remain fairly stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the fund's sophisticated investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested 1,672 in 21Shares Bitcoin Core on December 18, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost 312.00 from holding 21Shares Bitcoin Core or given up 18.66% of portfolio value over 90 days. 21Shares Bitcoin Core is generating negative expected returns and shows 2.6478% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 23% of etfs are less volatile than 21Shares, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the ETF over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon 21Shares Bitcoin is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 3.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.07 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The pattern of price mean reversion for 21Shares Etf is a well-established feature of organized markets. While this tendency forms the basis of many forecasting approaches, persistent mispricings in certain ETFs indicate that additional risk factors influence how quickly prices converge to fair value.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
13.60 90 days 13.60
about 68.91
Statistical probability analysis shows the odds of 21Shares Bitcoin moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 68.91 (The probability density chart for 21Shares Bitcoin Core illustrates the range of expected prices for 21Shares Etf over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon 21Shares Bitcoin Core has a beta of -0.15 suggesting that as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on 21Shares Bitcoin tend to move in the opposite direction, though by a smaller magnitude. During a bear market, however, 21Shares Bitcoin Core is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, 21Shares Bitcoin Core has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   21Shares Bitcoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 21Shares Bitcoin

The ETF market offers numerous forecasting challenges and techniques. For instruments like 21Shares Bitcoin Core, applying diverse models and cross-checking their predictions is a practical approach to managing uncertainty. While no method eliminates market risk, disciplined forecasting strengthens overall investment analysis.
The mean reversion tendency in 21Shares Bitcoin's price is a well-documented phenomenon that disciplined investors can exploit by identifying when price has diverged substantially from fundamental and historical anchors.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9513.6016.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1812.8315.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2012.8515.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5912.7813.97
Details
Comparing 21Shares Bitcoin against its competitive peer group transforms raw financial data into actionable insight. 21Shares Bitcoin's standing on returns, margins, and growth relative to competitors is the ultimate test of its investment merit.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market, and 21Shares Bitcoin has not been immune. Large corrections and rallies have tested many portfolios. Investors holding 21Shares Bitcoin Core can limit downside exposure by monitoring 21Shares Bitcoin's volatility and market elasticity within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3377
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.0902

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alert notifications for 21Shares Bitcoin provide investors with timely updates on significant ETF developments. Reviewing 21Shares Bitcoin Core alerts regularly helps investors respond to changes in technical indicators and fundamental conditions that could affect investment outcomes.
21Shares Bitcoin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

21Shares Bitcoin performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Performance quality is influenced by volatility discipline and regime stability.

This section for 21Shares Bitcoin Core is built from fund disclosures and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Rifka Kats - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 7th, 2026