ProShares UltraShort MSCI Etf Performance

BZQ Etf  USD 11.87  0.38  3.31%   
The etf has a beta of -2.03, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on ProShares UltraShort are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, ProShares UltraShort is expected to outperform it.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, ProShares UltraShort MSCI generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Even with conflicting performance in the last few months, the etf's basic indicators remain relatively invariable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the ETF's retail investors. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,473 in ProShares UltraShort MSCI on December 15, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 286.00 from holding ProShares UltraShort MSCI or given up 19.42% of portfolio value over 90 days. ProShares UltraShort MSCI is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.5142% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 31% of etfs are less volatile than ProShares, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the ETF is 4.47 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of volatility.

Historical Prices of ProShares UltraShort MSCI

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for ProShares UltraShort MSCI extending back to June 19, 2009. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of ProShares UltraShort stands at 11.87, as last reported on the 15th of March 2026, with the highest price reaching 11.97 and the lowest price hitting 11.17 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded ETFs are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these ETFs carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
11.87 90 days 11.87
about 63.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares UltraShort moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 63.17 (This ProShares UltraShort MSCI probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort MSCI has a beta of -2.03 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on ProShares UltraShort MSCI are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, ProShares UltraShort is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally, ProShares UltraShort MSCI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The ETF is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ProShares UltraShort Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares UltraShort

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the ETF market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as ProShares UltraShort MSCI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the ETF market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares UltraShort's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3411.8515.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.6411.1514.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3011.8115.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5410.7011.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ProShares UltraShort. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ProShares UltraShort's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the etf market. ProShares UltraShort is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards ProShares UltraShort's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold ProShares UltraShort MSCI, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares UltraShort within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4518
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.0925

Investor Alerts and Insights

Automated alerts tied to ProShares UltraShort help investors stay ahead of material changes in ETF conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for ProShares UltraShort MSCI is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
ProShares UltraShort generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ProShares UltraShort has high historical volatility and very poor performance
This fund generated-38.0 ten year return of -38.0%
ProShares UltraShort holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.

ProShares UltraShort Fundamentals Growth

ProShares Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ProShares UltraShort, and ProShares UltraShort fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ProShares Etf performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

ProShares UltraShort performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes.

Unless otherwise specified, data for ProShares UltraShort MSCI is compiled from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Vlad Skutelnik - Macroaxis Contributor