Bit Origin Stock Performance
| BTOG Stock | USD 2.51 0.05 2.03% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 2.02, which alludes to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Market upswings tend to lift Bit Origin more than average, but downturns carry a proportionally larger impact on returns. At this point, Bit Origin has a negative expected return of -2.05%. Please make sure to validate Bit Origin's relationship between the rate of daily change and price action indicator, to decide if Bit Origin's performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
For the recent 90-day horizon, Bit Origin failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company's stockholders. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
Five Day Return -14.58 | Year To Date Return -77.88 | Ten Year Return -99.97 | All Time Return -99.97 |
Last Split Factor 1:60 | Last Split Date 2026-01-20 |
1 | Bybit Pay links with digital wallets Yape, Plin to offer crypto payments in Peru | 01/14/2026 |
2 | Bit Origin Ltd Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Listing Standards - Quiver Quantitative | 02/11/2026 |
3 | Short Interest in Bit Origin Limited Rises By 32.7 | 03/03/2026 |
4 | Bit Origin Stock Price, News Analysis - Market Beat | 03/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 1.5 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -2.3 M |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 1,260 in Bit Origin on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 1,009 from holding Bit Origin or given up 80.08% of portfolio value over 90 days. Bit Origin does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 10.1758% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 91% of stocks are less volatile than Bit, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The pattern of price convergence toward an average value is one of the most reliable features of organized stock markets. For Bit Stock, this behavior has been used by investors as a forecasting baseline, though some stocks exhibit notable delays before mispricing is corrected.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.51 | 90 days | 2.51 | about 79.98 |
A probability distribution analysis shows that the odds of Bit Origin moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 79.98 (The curve above represents the probability density of Bit Stock prices across the next 90 days).
Bit Origin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bit Origin
Forecasting techniques for the stock market vary widely in methodology and complexity. For instruments such as Bit Origin, combining multiple approaches provides a more robust view than relying on any single model. Market surprises are inevitable, but disciplined forecasting still improves overall investment decision-making.Investors who believe in mean reversion view Bit Origin's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Primary Risk Indicators
The last 10-20 years have demonstrated just how volatile the stock market can be. Bit Origin has been part of this story, with corrections and rallies that have made and broken portfolios. Holding Bit Origin with a hedging strategy informed by Bit Origin's risk indicators is one way to limit downside exposure.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.996 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2104 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Timely alerts on Bit Origin help investors identify important shifts in stock conditions early. Reviewing Bit Origin notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns, fundamental changes, and market-moving headlines.| Bit Origin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bit Origin has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bit Origin has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported previous year's revenue of 39.49 K. Net Loss for the year was -6.53 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.49 K. | |
| Bit Origin currently holds about 17.8 K in cash with -2.29 M of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Bit Origin has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bit Origin Stock Price, News Analysis - Market Beat |
Price Density Drivers
The indicators below capture the key forces that influence Bit Origin's near-term price action, including the dynamics between long and short market participants. Reviewing these metrics contextualizes Bit Origin price movements and anticipate potential volatility shifts.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 385.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.6 K |
Bit Origin Fundamentals Growth
Understanding Bit Stock requires a close look at Bit Origin's financial fundamentals. Revenue growth, earnings consistency, operating margins, and capital structure are the principal factors that influence Bit Stock market performance.
| Return On Equity | -3.2 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.37 | |||
| Operating Margin | -27.47 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 9.39 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 1.48 M | |||
| Price To Book | 0.95 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 92.78 X | |||
| Revenue | 39.49 K | |||
| Gross Profit | 39.49 K | |||
| EBITDA | -3.91 M | |||
| Net Income | -6.53 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.8 K | |||
| Total Debt | 372.08 K | |||
| Current Ratio | 19.18 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.97 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -2.29 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -16.80 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 3.66 M | |||
| Total Asset | 3.54 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -88.27 M | |||
| Working Capital | 4.19 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Bit Origin performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Bit Origin shows ROE of -3.2%, ROA of -36.59%.
This section for Bit Origin is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.