Birchtech Corp Stock Performance
| BCHT Stock | 2.88 -0.02 -0.69% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Sensitivity) of -0.91, which means generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. Returns on Birchtech Corp drift modestly against the market trend, offering limited but measurable counter-cyclical behavior. At this point, Birchtech Corp has a negative expected return of -0.7%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
During the last 90 trading days, Birchtech Corp produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. Used correctly, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain very healthy, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm's investors. Learn More
Last Split Factor 0.2:1 | Last Split Date 2025-12-31 |
1 | Birchtech Corp files to offer 4.8 million shares in public offering, uplist to NYSE By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa | 01/14/2026 |
2 | Air and water purification system provider Birchtech sets IPO price at 3.67 per share, aiming to raise 20 million. - | 02/03/2026 |
3 | Birchtech Announces Pricing of 15 Million Public Offering and Uplisting to NYSE American Stock Exchange - Yahoo Finance | 02/26/2026 |
4 | Birchtech to Participate in the i Access Alpha Virtual Best Ideas Spring Investment Conference - marketscreener.com | 03/05/2026 |
5 | Birchtech to release Q 4 results after close, hold call at 5 p.m. ET - Stock Titan | 03/24/2026 |
Birchtech |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested C$ 550.00 in Birchtech Corp on December 26, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 262.00 from holding Birchtech Corp or given up 47.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Birchtech Corp is generating negative expected returns and shows 9.0018% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 80% of stocks are less volatile than Birchtech, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some stocks carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price. Understanding mean reversion in Birchtech Stock helps frame realistic expectations for price normalization over time.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.88 | 90 days | 2.88 | about 92.54 |
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of Birchtech Corp moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 92.54 . Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Birchtech Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Birchtech Stock.
Birchtech Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Birchtech Corp
For Birchtech Corp, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Birchtech Corp price behavior. This multi-model approach helps investors prepare for a range of potential outcomes in Birchtech Corp.Mean reversion analysis in Birchtech Corp's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Birchtech Corp is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Primary Risk Indicators
The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Birchtech Corp. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Birchtech Corp. A disciplined approach to monitoring Birchtech Corp's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions. Fundamental risk indicators provide the analytical foundation for evaluating Birchtech Corp downside exposure.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.495 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0435 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Monitoring Birchtech Corp alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Birchtech Corp helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Birchtech Corp allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy. This proactive approach supports better-timed portfolio adjustments.| Birchtech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Birchtech Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Birchtech Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported revenue of 17.41 M. Net Loss for the year was -10.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.55 M. | |
| Birchtech Corp generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Birchtech to release Q 4 results after close, hold call at 5 p.m. ET - Stock Titan |
Birchtech Corp Fundamentals Growth
Birchtech Corp's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Birchtech Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Birchtech Stock. Birchtech Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Birchtech Corp's financial fundamentals. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Birchtech Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -9.78 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.1 | |||
| Profit Margin | -0.19 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 73.33 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 26.31 M | |||
| Price To Book | 32.24 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.93 X | |||
| Revenue | 17.41 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 9.55 M | |||
| EBITDA | -1.45 M | |||
| Net Income | -10.8 M | |||
| Total Debt | 9.07 M | |||
| Book Value Per Share | -0.08 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | -4.11 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | -0.27 X | |||
| Total Asset | 10.26 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -72.75 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Return quality for Birchtech Corp evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. The asset may exhibit relatively defensive behavior during changing market conditions. Birchtech Corp shows ROE of -9.78%, ROA of -10.06%.
Inputs for Birchtech Corp come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.