Azure Power Global Stock Performance

AZREF Stock   1.00  -0.01  -0.99%   
Azure Power holds a performance score of 7 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a beta of -2.54, which conveys elevated sensitivity to broad market movements. Returns on Azure Power are inversely related to market direction and amplified in magnitude, making it a counter-cyclical holding.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Moderate
 
Weak
 
Strong
Azure Power Global currently ranks below 7% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. Business context should still be reviewed beside valuation, volatility, and current market behavior. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Azure Power reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 100.00 in Azure Power Global on December 24, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 0.00  from holding Azure Power Global or generated 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Azure Power Global is currently producing a 3.9222% return and carries 40.3492% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Azure, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It is most useful when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Assuming a 90-day horizon Azure Power is expected to generate 47.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 47.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Mean reversion in Azure Pink Sheet pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
1.00 90 days 1.00
about 47.34
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Azure Power moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.34 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Azure Pink Sheet over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Azure Pink Sheet over this horizon.
Assuming a 90-day horizon Azure Power Global has a beta of -2.54. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on Azure Power Global are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Azure Power is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that, Azure Power Global has an alpha of 3.7509, implying that it can generate a 3.7509 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Azure Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Azure Power

Predicting the direction of Azure Power Global involves a range of quantitative and qualitative pink sheet techniques. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Azure Power Global.
Mean reversion is the tendency of Azure Power's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Azure Power's price extremes to fundamental value.
Competitive analysis for Azure Power compares its financial performance and valuation against sector peers. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

Over the past two decades, the pink sheet market has experienced significant volatility affecting Azure Power. Azure Power has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Investor Alerts and Insights

Staying informed about Azure Power through targeted alerts gives investors the edge they need to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Azure Power Global help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.
Azure Power Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Azure Power Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Azure Power Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for Azure Power evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Consistent positive returns across rolling windows support confidence in structural performance patterns.

Inputs for Azure Power Global come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on February 28th, 2026