Autozone Stock Performance

AZO Stock  USD 3,786  0.00  0.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.43, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AutoZone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AutoZone is likely to outperform the market. AutoZone right now shows a risk of 1.65%. Please confirm AutoZone total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if AutoZone will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AutoZone has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, AutoZone is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.33
Five Day Return
3.5
Year To Date Return
14.6
Ten Year Return
408.68
All Time Return
51.5 K
Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
1994-04-21
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Begin Period Cash Flow298.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.4 B

AutoZone Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  370,912  in AutoZone on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (912.00) from holding AutoZone or give up 0.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. AutoZone is generating 0.0095% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6528% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than AutoZone, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AutoZone is expected to generate 6.73 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

AutoZone Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AutoZone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3,786 90 days 3,786 
about 25.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AutoZone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.25 (This AutoZone probability density function shows the probability of AutoZone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AutoZone has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AutoZone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AutoZone is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AutoZone has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AutoZone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AutoZone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AutoZone. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6983,7003,702
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,6523,6534,070
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,6843,6863,687
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3,8344,2134,677
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AutoZone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AutoZone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AutoZone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AutoZone.

AutoZone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AutoZone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AutoZone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AutoZone, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AutoZone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.43
σ
Overall volatility
212.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

AutoZone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AutoZone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AutoZone can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AutoZone has 12.29 B in debt. AutoZone has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for AutoZone to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What to Expect From AutoZones Next Quarterly Earnings Report

AutoZone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AutoZone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AutoZone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AutoZone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments271.8 M

AutoZone Fundamentals Growth

AutoZone Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AutoZone, and AutoZone fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AutoZone Stock performance.

About AutoZone Performance

By examining AutoZone's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into AutoZone's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that AutoZone is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 259.03  171.34 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.16  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.45  0.33 
Return On Assets 0.16  0.10 
Return On Equity(0.56)(0.53)

Things to note about AutoZone performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AutoZone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AutoZone help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AutoZone has 12.29 B in debt. AutoZone has a current ratio of 0.75, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for AutoZone to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: What to Expect From AutoZones Next Quarterly Earnings Report
Evaluating AutoZone's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AutoZone's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AutoZone's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AutoZone's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AutoZone's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AutoZone's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AutoZone's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AutoZone's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AutoZone's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AutoZone's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AutoZone's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether AutoZone offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AutoZone's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Autozone Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Autozone Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AutoZone. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
To learn how to invest in AutoZone Stock, please use our How to Invest in AutoZone guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AutoZone. If investors know AutoZone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AutoZone listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Earnings Share
143.49
Revenue Per Share
1.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Return On Assets
0.1196
The market value of AutoZone is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AutoZone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AutoZone's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AutoZone's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AutoZone's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AutoZone's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AutoZone's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AutoZone is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AutoZone's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.