Avalanche Performance
| AVAX Crypto | USD 9.54 0.01 0.10% |
The crypto owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0856, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Avalanche's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Avalanche is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, Avalanche generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Avalanche shareholders. ...more
1 | Exclusive JPMorgan Steps Further Into Crypto With Tokenized Money Fund - The Wall Street Journal | 12/15/2025 |
2 | Crypto investors got almost everything they wanted in 2025, yet prices still fell. Theyre looking for more help from the White House in 2026. - MarketWatch | 12/24/2025 |
3 | Bitcoin, XRP Prices Rise. Why This Big Week for Crypto Can Spark a Rally. - Barrons | 01/13/2026 |
4 | Bitcoin is getting slammed again as No. 1 cryptocurrency loses nearly 2,000 - MarketWatch | 02/11/2026 |
Avalanche |
Avalanche Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,342 in Avalanche on December 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose -416.00 from holding Avalanche or give up 31.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. Avalanche is generating negative expected returns and assumes 4.8869% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 43% of crypto coins are less volatile than Avalanche, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Avalanche Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Avalanche Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.54 | 90 days | 9.54 | about 81.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avalanche to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.52 (This Avalanche probability density function shows the probability of Avalanche Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Avalanche Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avalanche
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avalanche. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.The concept of mean reversion suggests that Avalanche's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Avalanche Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avalanche is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avalanche's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avalanche, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avalanche within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4469 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0898 |
Avalanche Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avalanche for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avalanche can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avalanche generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avalanche has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bitcoin is getting slammed again as No. 1 cryptocurrency loses nearly 2,000 - MarketWatch |
How Has Avalanche Performed?
Avalanche performance is commonly evaluated through regime-dependent returns, drawdowns, and dispersion across venues. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers. We evaluate Avalanche through the lens of long-term portfolio construction and diversification efficiency.
Methodology
Unless otherwise specified, data for Avalanche is derived from publicly available market feeds and reference sources. Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on market structure. Avalanche (US:AVAX) prices may vary by venue and can be delayed in some cases. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Return metrics, performance scores, and risk-adjusted figures shown here are computed from historical price series. For Avalanche, analysis may incorporate venue liquidity, volatility regimes, and network-level reference metrics where available (e.g., supply dynamics or on-chain activity proxies).
Assumptions
We primarily rely on public market feeds and reference sources, including disclosures published by U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the U.S. Patent & Trademark Office (USPTO). Data is normalized for analytical consistency across reporting formats. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.Research Sources
Avalanche may have reference inputs that incorporate venue liquidity and market-structure signals where available. Updates may occur throughout the day.
| Avalanche generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avalanche has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bitcoin is getting slammed again as No. 1 cryptocurrency loses nearly 2,000 - MarketWatch |
More Resources for Avalanche Crypto Coin Analysis
A structured review of Avalanche often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends.Use Trending Equities to better understand diversified portfolio construction. Additional portfolio transparency improves capital positioning. This includes a position in Avalanche across the allocation. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. Analysis related to Avalanche should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.