Archimedes Tech SPAC Stock Performance

ATII Stock   10.47  -0.02  -0.19%   
Archimedes Tech has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0136, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. Archimedes Tech moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs. Archimedes Tech SPAC today secures a risk of 0.3%. Please confirm Archimedes Tech value at risk, expected short fall, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Mild
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Archimedes Tech SPAC rank lower than 4% of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite fairly strong forward indicators, Archimedes Tech is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price confusion may contribute to short-horizon losses for traders. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 Year To Date Return
1.35
 Ten Year Return
5.22
 All Time Return
5.22

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,038 in Archimedes Tech SPAC on December 13, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 11.00 from holding Archimedes Tech SPAC or generated 1.06% return on investment over 90 days. Archimedes Tech SPAC is currently generating a 0.0177% daily expected return and carries 0.2973% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 2% of stocks are less volatile than Archimedes, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Archimedes Tech is expected to generate 0.38 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.66 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For Archimedes Stock, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some stocks are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
10.47 90 days 10.47
about 53.62
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of Archimedes Tech moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 53.62 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of Archimedes Stock prices over the next 90 days).
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Archimedes Tech has a beta of 0.0136. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Archimedes Tech's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Archimedes Tech SPAC is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Archimedes Tech SPAC has an alpha of 0.0085, implying that it can generate a 0.0085 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Archimedes Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Archimedes Tech

Accurately predicting the stock market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For Archimedes Tech SPAC, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process — comparing methods and results helps investors develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to Archimedes Tech's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1910.4910.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2110.5110.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2610.5510.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.4010.5310.66
Details
Peer comparison enriches Archimedes Tech analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the stock market, and Archimedes Tech has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in Archimedes Tech SPAC should monitor Archimedes Tech's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for Archimedes Tech give investors a structured way to monitor the stock for material events. Archimedes Tech SPAC notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.
Archimedes Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
Archimedes Tech SPAC has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners III Co. Announces Separate Trading of Shares and Warrants Beginning March 16, 2026 1 - Minichart

Price Density Drivers

Understanding the forces driving Archimedes Tech's price dynamics helps investors anticipate periods of elevated volatility. The balance between optimistic and pessimistic market participants is reflected in the short-sentiment indicators listed below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 M

Archimedes Tech Fundamentals Growth

Archimedes Stock performance is fundamentally tied to Archimedes Tech's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for Archimedes Stock.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Archimedes Tech performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations. Archimedes Tech shows ROA of -0.41%.

Inputs for Archimedes Tech SPAC come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors