Aqr Risk Balanced Modities Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ARCIX Fund  USD 10.84  0.03  0.28%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.055, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. AQR RISK-BALANCED moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
On a recent 90-day basis, Aqr Risk Balanced Modities sits below 17% of comparable funds and fund portfolios in risk-adjusted performance. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat weak forward indicators, AQR RISK-BALANCED sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. Learn More
Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio1.0300
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 910.00 in Aqr Risk Balanced Modities on December 19, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 174.00 from holding Aqr Risk Balanced Modities or generated 19.12% return on investment over 90 days. Aqr Risk Balanced Modities is currently producing a 0.3009% return and carries 1.3352% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than AQR, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon AQR RISK-BALANCED is expected to generate 1.62 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.62 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of risk.

Historical Prices of Aqr Risk Balanced

Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Aqr Risk Balanced Modities extending back to July 09, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of AQR RISK-BALANCED stands at 10.84, as last reported on the 19th of March, with the highest price reaching 10.84 and the lowest price hitting 10.84 during the day.
Macro event markers
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For AQR Mutual Fund, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some funds are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
10.84 90 days 10.84
under 4
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of AQR RISK-BALANCED moving above the current price in 90 days from now are under 4 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of AQR Mutual Fund prices over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon AQR RISK-BALANCED has a beta of 0.055. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AQR RISK-BALANCED's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Aqr Risk Balanced Modities is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Aqr Risk Balanced Modities has an alpha of 0.2587, implying that it can generate a 0.2587 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   AQR RISK-BALANCED Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AQR RISK-BALANCED

Accurately predicting the fund market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For Aqr Risk Balanced, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process - comparing methods and results helps investors develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to AQR RISK-BALANCED's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.392.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4910.8112.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5610.3611.16
Details
Peer comparison enriches AQR RISK-BALANCED analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the mutual fund market, and AQR RISK-BALANCED has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in Aqr Risk Balanced Modities should monitor AQR RISK-BALANCED's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for AQR RISK-BALANCED give investors a structured way to monitor the fund for material events. Aqr Risk Balanced notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.
The fund holds about 17.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

AQR RISK-BALANCED Fundamentals Growth

AQR Mutual Fund performance is fundamentally tied to AQR RISK-BALANCED's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for AQR Mutual Fund.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

AQR RISK-BALANCED performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Inputs for Aqr Risk Balanced Modities come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 13th, 2026