Absolute Convertible Arbitrage Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

ARBOX Fund  USD 11.69  0.01  0.09%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0091, which alludes to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Absolute Convertible are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Absolute Convertible is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Constructive
 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared with the broader market, risk-adjusted returns on Absolute Convertible Arbitrage rank lower than 16% of all funds and fund portfolios over the last 90 days. This score becomes more useful when investors compare it with downside risk, Sharpe Ratio, and current trend stability. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Absolute Convertible is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Absolute Convertible Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest 1,108 in Absolute Convertible Arbitrage on December 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 61.00 from holding Absolute Convertible Arbitrage or generate 5.51% return on investment over 90 days. Absolute Convertible Arbitrage is currently producing 0.0888% returns and takes up 0.44% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 3% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Absolute, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90 days horizon Absolute Convertible is expected to generate 0.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.79 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01 per unit of risk.

Absolute Convertible Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
11.69
Please note that Absolute Convertible's price fluctuation is Very Low at this time. At this time, Absolute Convertible appears to be overvalued. Absolute Convertible has a regular Real Value of $10.69 per share. The regular price of the fund is $11.69. We determine the value of Absolute Convertible from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage taking in undervalued mutual funds and trading overvalued mutual funds since, sooner or later, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Absolute Convertible is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Absolute Mutual Fund. However, Absolute Convertible's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.69 Real  10.69 Hype  11.69 Naive  11.75
Absolute Convertible true worth, or intrinsic value, is not always reflected in its daily market price. Valuing Absolute Convertible's accurately requires financial analysis using methods such as discounted cash flow and relative valuation.
10.69
Real Value
12.86
Upside
Investors should consider both the potential upside and the downside risk when evaluating Absolute Convertible Arbitrage for a portfolio. The fair value of Absolute mutual fund is influenced by forces beyond what the income statement or balance sheet reveals.
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6311.6711.71
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2511.6912.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.3011.7512.19
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Absolute Convertible Arbitrage extending back to February 25, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Absolute Convertible stands at 11.69, as last reported on the 10th of March, with the highest price reaching 11.69 and the lowest price hitting 11.69 during the day.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Absolute Convertible Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Absolute Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
11.69 90 days 11.69
about 18.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Absolute Convertible to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.55 (This Absolute Convertible Arbitrage probability density function shows the probability of Absolute Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Absolute Convertible Arbitrage has a beta of -0.0091. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Absolute Convertible are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Absolute Convertible Arbitrage is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Absolute Convertible Arbitrage has an alpha of 0.0762, implying that it can generate a 0.0762 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Absolute Convertible Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Absolute Convertible

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Absolute Convertible. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Investors who believe in mean reversion view Absolute Convertible's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2511.6912.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2510.6912.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3011.7512.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6311.6711.71
Details
A complete picture of Absolute Convertible's investment merit requires comparative analysis. How Absolute Convertible's growth rates, profitability, and capital efficiency stack up against peers is often the deciding factor in investment decisions.

Absolute Convertible Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Absolute Convertible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Absolute Convertible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Absolute Convertible Arbitrage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Absolute Convertible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0091
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Absolute Convertible Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Absolute Convertible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Absolute Convertible can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 45.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Absolute Convertible Fundamentals Growth

Absolute Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Absolute Convertible, and Absolute Convertible fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Absolute Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset800.62 M

Absolute Convertible Performance and Risk-Adjusted Returns

Absolute Convertible performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Tracking difference (where applicable) can separate exposure returns from implementation effects. Absolute Convertible is assessed relative to its contribution to long-term portfolio efficiency and allocation discipline.

Methodology

Unless otherwise specified, data for Absolute Convertible Arbitrage is derived from fund disclosures (prospectus language, holdings reports, and periodic statements where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on instrument type. Absolute (USA Stocks:ARBOX) market data and reported NAV may reflect delayed updates. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Return metrics, performance scores, and risk-adjusted figures shown here are computed from historical price series.

Assumptions

Datasets used in this report incorporate public fund disclosures, holdings reports, and market data feeds and official institutional disclosures, including U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR. Information may be standardized across formats and may reflect delayed updates. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.

Research Sources

Absolute Convertible Arbitrage may have reference inputs that incorporate holdings disclosures, category classification, and NAV-derived statistics where available. Updates may occur throughout the day.

Things to note about Absolute Convertible performance evaluation

Automated alerts tied to Absolute Convertible Arbitrage help investors surface material conditions that may support or challenge the current thesis before they become expensive mistakes. In practice, the value comes from seeing which signals are new, which are persistent, and which are strong enough to justify action.
The fund holds about 45.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Absolute Convertible's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Absolute Convertible's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Absolute Convertible's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Absolute Convertible's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Absolute Convertible's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Absolute Convertible's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Absolute Convertible's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Absolute Convertible's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Absolute Convertible's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Absolute Convertible's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Absolute Convertible's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Resources for Absolute Mutual Fund Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Absolute Mutual Fund

Financial ratios for Absolute Convertible provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Absolute across valuation measures in a consistent way.
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