Amazon CDR Stock Performance

AMZN Stock   24.44  0.54  2.26%   
The firm has a Beta of 0.66, which means generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. Returns on Amazon CDR tend to trail the broader market in strong rallies but hold up better when sentiment turns negative. At this point, Amazon CDR has a negative expected return of -0.14%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Amazon CDR has delivered negative risk-adjusted returns across the last 90 days, suggesting that volatility was not compensated by return. Current market capitalization is about 2.99 Trillion. In spite of latest abnormal performance, the stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm's investors. Learn More
Begin Period Cash Flow82.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-142.5 B
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested C$ 2,693 in Amazon CDR on December 26, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost C$ 249.00 from holding Amazon CDR or given up 9.25% of portfolio value over 90 days. Amazon CDR is generating negative expected returns and shows 1.8239% volatility on return distribution over a 90-day horizon. Simply put, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Amazon, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is intended to show how efficiently risk has translated into return over the selected horizon. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Amazon CDR is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.15 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

One of the most enduring patterns in stock markets is the tendency for prices to revert toward averages. This mean-reverting tendency has been a useful forecasting tool, though some stocks exhibit persistent mispricings. The speed of convergence varies because some stocks carry risk factors not immediately reflected in price. Understanding mean reversion in Amazon Stock helps frame realistic expectations for price normalization over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
24.44 90 days 24.44
about 77.68
Applying a normal distribution to this stock, the odds of Amazon CDR moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 77.68 . Based on past return behavior, the distribution of outcomes has been weighted above current levels over this period. (The probability curve shows the outcome range with the heaviest concentration for Amazon Stock over 90 days). A tighter center suggests recent price behavior has been clustering into a narrower range for Amazon Stock.
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon Amazon CDR has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amazon CDR's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Amazon CDR is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Amazon CDR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amazon CDR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amazon CDR

For Amazon CDR, multiple forecasting techniques provide different perspectives on future stock price direction. No method can consistently predict the stock market with certainty, but disciplined forecasting sharpens analysis. Comparing the outputs of diverse models helps set realistic expectations for Amazon CDR price behavior. This multi-model approach helps investors prepare for a range of potential outcomes in Amazon CDR.
Mean reversion analysis in Amazon CDR's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Amazon CDR is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.5224.3426.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3225.1426.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.1222.9524.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.6824.3425.00
Details
Competitive positioning is a critical dimension of Amazon CDR analysis. Benchmarking Amazon CDR's performance and risk profile against competitors validates any investment thesis. Evaluating Amazon CDR in context means comparing Amazon CDR's against the competitive peer group. Comparing Amazon CDR against peers transforms raw financial data into actionable insight.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market's volatility over the past 10-20 years has tested even experienced investors in Amazon CDR. Large corrections and rapid recoveries have created challenges for investors in Amazon CDR. A disciplined approach to monitoring Amazon CDR's risk indicators supports more effective hedging decisions. Fundamental risk indicators provide the analytical foundation for evaluating Amazon CDR downside exposure.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0719
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Investor Alerts and Insights

Monitoring Amazon CDR alerts is a practical approach to staying informed about material stock changes. Reviewing ongoing notifications for Amazon CDR helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced in. Multiple alert categories for Amazon CDR allow investors to focus on the signals most relevant to their strategy. This proactive approach supports better-timed portfolio adjustments.
Amazon CDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Price Density Drivers

The price of Amazon Stock is driven by buyer and seller positioning dynamics along with broader market trends. Because market risk indicators may produce small false signals, reviewing multiple metrics is recommended. Understanding Amazon CDR's price drivers helps determine whether movements reflect underlying changes or positioning shifts. Review the table below for a summary of Amazon CDR's key price density metrics.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments123 B

Amazon CDR Fundamentals Growth

Amazon CDR's financial fundamentals are the foundation of Amazon Stock market pricing and valuation. Metrics like earnings growth, revenue consistency, and margin trends collectively determine market sentiment toward Amazon Stock. Amazon Stock market pricing reflects the collective assessment of Amazon CDR's financial fundamentals. These fundamental drivers have a direct and measurable impact on Amazon Stock performance.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Amazon CDR measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Past price movements indicate comparatively limited downside dispersion. Amazon CDR shows ROE of 22.29%, ROA of 6.93%.

Inputs for Amazon CDR come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 15th, 2026