AMADEUS IT (Germany) Performance

AI3B Stock  EUR 53.50  -1.00  -1.83%   
The company has a beta of 0.008, which means relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AMADEUS IT's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding AMADEUS IT is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, AMADEUS IT GRP has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to check AMADEUS IT's coefficient of variation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and variance, to decide if AMADEUS IT GRP's performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days, AMADEUS IT GRP generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable, which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company's stockholders. Learn More
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0259
 Payout Ratio
0.4594
 Forward Dividend Rate
1.41
 Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-15
1
Our Roundtable Pros See More Gains for Stocks, Especially Those Left Behind Until Now - Barrons
01/09/2026
  

AMADEUS IT Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested 6,147 in AMADEUS IT GRP on December 12, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost 797.00 from holding AMADEUS IT GRP or given up 12.97% of portfolio value over 90 days. AMADEUS IT GRP is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.4004% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 21% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than AMADEUS IT, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon AMADEUS IT is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.04 per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AMADEUS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of organized markets for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded stocks are consistently mispriced before demand and supply correct the spread. One possible explanation is that these stocks carry additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
53.50 90 days 53.50
about 73.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMADEUS IT moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 73.02 (This AMADEUS IT GRP probability density function shows the probability of AMADEUS Stock falling within a particular range of prices over 90 days).
Assuming the 90-day trading horizon AMADEUS IT has a beta of 0.008. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AMADEUS IT's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding AMADEUS IT GRP is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, AMADEUS IT GRP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AMADEUS IT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AMADEUS IT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the stock market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual instruments such as AMADEUS IT GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMADEUS IT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.1253.5055.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.1354.5156.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.5555.9358.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.9650.5955.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AMADEUS IT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AMADEUS IT's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Primary Risk Indicators

The last 10-20 years have been a volatile period for the stock market. AMADEUS IT is no exception. The market experienced several large corrections towards AMADEUS IT's value, including sharp drops and substantial rallies. An investor can limit portfolio swings by implementing a hedging strategy designed to reduce downside losses. If you hold AMADEUS IT GRP, one way to protect your portfolio is to watch for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMADEUS IT within the framework of fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1819
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
5.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.0703

AMADEUS IT Alerts and Suggestions

Automated alerts tied to AMADEUS IT help investors stay ahead of material changes in stock conditions. Monitoring ongoing notifications for AMADEUS IT GRP is a practical way to spot shifts in technical or fundamental signals that may affect investment timing.
AMADEUS IT GRP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

AMADEUS IT Fundamentals Growth

AMADEUS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AMADEUS IT, and AMADEUS IT fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AMADEUS Stock performance.

About AMADEUS IT Performance Analysis

AMADEUS IT performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Risk-adjusted measures provide context for return efficiency across regimes. AMADEUS IT shows ROE of 26.94%, ROA of 9.73%.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for AMADEUS IT GRP is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.

AMADEUS Stock is Curated By:

Vlad SkutelnikVlad Skutelnik · Macroaxis Contributor