Alphabet (Germany) Performance

ABEC Stock  EUR 259.50  0.60  0.23%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.26, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alphabet's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alphabet is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alphabet has a negative expected return of -0.0715%. Please make sure to confirm Alphabet's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Alphabet performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Alphabet has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Alphabet is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0027
Payout Ratio
0.0768
Last Split Factor
20:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.71
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-09
1
Alphabet Stocks 2025 Rebound Has Wall Street Betting on More Gains - Barrons
12/29/2025
2
Why Alphabet and Meta investors shouldnt sweat ChatGPTs ad launch for now - MarketWatch
01/20/2026
3
3 Things Alphabet Needs to Prove in 2026 - The Motley Fool
01/26/2026
4
Stocks to Watch Thursday Honeywell, Southwest, Alphabet - The Wall Street Journal
01/29/2026
5
Jim Cramer Waymos soaring valuation adds a new layer to the Alphabet buy story - CNBC
02/02/2026
6
Stock Market Today Nasdaq, Dow Sink But Small Caps Take It On Chin - Investors Business Daily
02/05/2026
7
Alphabet Stock Is Still a Best Idea. The Company Can Cash In on AI. - Barrons
02/09/2026
8
Top Research Reports for Alphabet, Caterpillar T-Mobile - Yahoo Finance Singapore
02/12/2026
9
1 Unstoppable Stock to Buy Before It Joins Nvidia, Apple, and Alphabet in the 3 Trillion Club - Yahoo Finance
02/16/2026
10
Microsofts stock is trading at a rare discount to Alphabets, as the Magnificent Seven reshuffle intensifies - MarketWatch
02/19/2026
11
Alphabets Waymo Expansion Pressures Tesla to Expand Robo-Taxi Service - Barrons
02/24/2026
  

Alphabet Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  27,242  in Alphabet on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,292) from holding Alphabet or give up 4.74% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alphabet is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.3902% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 12% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Alphabet, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alphabet is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.83 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Alphabet Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alphabet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 259.50 90 days 259.50 
about 90.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alphabet to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.1 (This Alphabet probability density function shows the probability of Alphabet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alphabet has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alphabet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alphabet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alphabet has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alphabet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alphabet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alphabet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alphabet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
257.83259.22260.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
232.16233.55285.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
269.14270.53271.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
247.30259.30259.90
Details

Alphabet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alphabet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alphabet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alphabet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alphabet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
9.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Alphabet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alphabet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alphabet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alphabet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alphabets Waymo Expansion Pressures Tesla to Expand Robo-Taxi Service - Barrons

Alphabet Fundamentals Growth

Alphabet Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alphabet, and Alphabet fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alphabet Stock performance.

About Alphabet Performance

By analyzing Alphabet's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alphabet's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alphabet has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alphabet has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 8.88  9.68 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.24  0.12 
Return On Capital Employed 0.26  0.24 
Return On Assets 0.22  0.23 
Return On Equity 0.32  0.33 

Things to note about Alphabet performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alphabet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alphabet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alphabet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alphabets Waymo Expansion Pressures Tesla to Expand Robo-Taxi Service - Barrons
Evaluating Alphabet's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alphabet's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alphabet's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alphabet's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alphabet's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alphabet's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alphabet's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alphabet's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alphabet's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alphabet's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alphabet's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Alphabet Stock analysis

When running Alphabet's price analysis, check to measure Alphabet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alphabet is operating at the current time. Most of Alphabet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alphabet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alphabet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alphabet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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