Trupanion Stock Market Value
| TRUP Stock | USD 51.96 2.14 3.96% |
| Symbol | Trupanion |
Is Life & Health Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trupanion. If investors know Trupanion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trupanion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share 31.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 | Return On Assets 0.0006 |
The market value of Trupanion is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trupanion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trupanion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trupanion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trupanion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trupanion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trupanion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trupanion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trupanion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Trupanion 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trupanion's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trupanion.
| 04/03/2025 |
| 07/02/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Trupanion on April 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trupanion or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trupanion over 90 days. Trupanion is related to or competes with National Rural, Smithfield Foods,, Western Midstream, Astral Foods, Kenon Holdings, and Where Food. Trupanion, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides medical insurance for cats and dogs on a monthly subscription ... More
Trupanion Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trupanion's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trupanion upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1226 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 26.1 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.67 |
Trupanion Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trupanion's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trupanion's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trupanion historical prices to predict the future Trupanion's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.243 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4785 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3938 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.197 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3964 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trupanion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trupanion Backtested Returns
Trupanion appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Trupanion owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.17, which indicates the firm had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Trupanion's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.72% is justified by implied risk. Please review Trupanion's Coefficient Of Variation of 695.49, risk adjusted performance of 0.243, and Semi Deviation of 2.12 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Trupanion holds a performance score of 13. The entity has a beta of 1.51, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trupanion will likely underperform. Please check Trupanion's sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Trupanion's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.85 |
Very good predictability
Trupanion has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trupanion time series from 3rd of April 2025 to 18th of May 2025 and 18th of May 2025 to 2nd of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trupanion price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Trupanion price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.85 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.75 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 15.56 |
Trupanion lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Trupanion stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trupanion's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trupanion returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trupanion has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Trupanion regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trupanion stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trupanion stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trupanion stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Trupanion Lagged Returns
When evaluating Trupanion's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trupanion stock have on its future price. Trupanion autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trupanion autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trupanion stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trupanion.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Trupanion
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Trupanion position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Trupanion will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Trupanion Stock
| 0.72 | BOW | Bowhead Specialty | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | PRA | ProAssurance | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | RLI | RLI Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | CNA | CNA Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | STC | Stewart Information | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Trupanion could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Trupanion when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Trupanion - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Trupanion to buy it.
The correlation of Trupanion is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Trupanion moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Trupanion moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Trupanion can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Trupanion Stock Analysis
When running Trupanion's price analysis, check to measure Trupanion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trupanion is operating at the current time. Most of Trupanion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trupanion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trupanion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trupanion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.