Dillards' market value is the price at which a share of Dillards trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dillards investors about its performance. Dillards is trading at 545.00 as of the 19th of December 2025. This is a 4.39 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 545.0. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dillards and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dillards over a given investment horizon. Check out Dillards Correlation, Dillards Volatility and Dillards Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dillards.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dillards' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dillards is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dillards' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Dillards 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dillards' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dillards.
0.00
09/20/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 3 months and 1 day
12/19/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Dillards on September 20, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dillards or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dillards over 90 days. Dillards is related to or competes with Iridium Communications, Bank of America, Rogers Communications, Monster Beverage, Ebro Foods, and Tyson Foods. Dillards, Inc. operates retail department stores primarily in the Southeastern, Southwestern, and Midwestern areas of th... More
Dillards Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dillards' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dillards upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dillards' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dillards' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dillards historical prices to predict the future Dillards' volatility.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dillards. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dillards' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dillards' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dillards.
Dillards Backtested Returns
Dillards appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Dillards secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0797, which denotes the company had a 0.0797 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Dillards, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Dillards' Downside Deviation of 2.93, mean deviation of 1.96, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1192.06 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Dillards holds a performance score of 6. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dillards will likely underperform. Please check Dillards' jensen alpha, sortino ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Dillards' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation
0.14
Insignificant predictability
Dillards has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dillards time series from 20th of September 2025 to 4th of November 2025 and 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dillards price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current Dillards price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.14
Spearman Rank Test
0.1
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
1122.03
Dillards lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Dillards stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dillards' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dillards returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dillards has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Dillards regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dillards stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dillards stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dillards stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Dillards Lagged Returns
When evaluating Dillards' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dillards stock have on its future price. Dillards autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dillards autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dillards stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dillards.
Dillards financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dillards Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dillards with respect to the benefits of owning Dillards security.