United Parcel Service (UPS) currently has an average rating of "Buy" from 32 analysts. Macroaxis offers additional insights to support and verify this consensus, focusing on the company's growth potential tailored to your risk appetite and investment timeline. Notably, around 69% of UPS’s shares are held by institutional investors, indicating strong confidence from big players. The company's book value stands at $18.57, reflecting its net worth per share. UPS’s Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio is 1.33, suggesting the stock is reasonably valued relative to its growth prospects. Earnings per share (EPS) is reported at 6.72. The most recent dividend was paid on August 18, 2025. Overall, UPS shows signs of stability and growth, making it worth considering for investors seeking a balanced approach.
Key Takeaways
With a current quote of
89.22 and a potential upside of
1.84, now is the time to consider whether you're truly betting on United Parcel Service's future growth or missing out on a promising ride. The stock's recent price action shows a
2.29% increase, but with a Jensen Alpha of
-0.29, the risk-adjusted returns suggest there's more to the story—are you in or out?
The successful prediction of United Parcel
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as United Parcel Service, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of United Parcel based on United Parcel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to United Parcel's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to United Parcel's related companies.
Use Technical Analysis to project United expected Price
United Parcel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of United Parcel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of United Parcel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...United Parcel Gross Profit
United Parcel Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing United Parcel previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show United Parcel Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check United Parcel's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
Going after United Financials
United Parcel Service reported the last year's revenue of 90.89
B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.78
B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 19.46
B.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) |
Short Long Term Debt Total | 23.5B | 26.7B | 25.7B | 14.5B | Total Assets | 71.1B | 70.9B | 70.1B | 44.8B |
Current Deferred Revenue Breakdown
United Parcel Current Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be comparatively stable with very little volatility. Current Deferred Revenue is likely to outpace its year average in 2025. Current Deferred Revenue usually refers to revenue that has been collected but not yet earned, typically from prepaid service contracts or subscriptions. This amount is considered a liability until the service is provided or the subscription period ends. At this time, United Parcel's Current Deferred Revenue is comparatively stable compared to the past year.
| 2018 | 4.57 Billion |
| 2019 | 4.26 Billion |
| 2020 | 5.58 Billion |
| 2021 | 5.91 Billion |
| 2022 | 139 Million |
| 2023 | 2.25 Billion |
| 2024 | 2.59 Billion |
| 2025 | 2.81 Billion |
A rising tide lifts all boats, but for United Parcel Service (UPS), investors should be cautious despite its recent hype. With a current market cap of approximately $73.93 billion and a solid revenue stream of $90.89 billion, the company's growth looks promising; however, its profit margin remains slim at just 0.06%. The stock's potential upside is estimated at 1.84, but the risk profile is elevated, with a total debt of $25.65 billion and a probability of bankruptcy at 16.43%. As the shares are heavily owned by institutions (68.57%), and the short ratio stands at 2.59X, it’s worth asking whether the optimism is justified or if caution should prevail.
Our perspective of the newest United Parcel gain
United Parcel Service’s stock volatility has recently dipped to 3.24, indicating less price fluctuation and a more stable trading pattern. This reduced variability could reflect growing investor confidence or a calmer market environment for UPS. For those considering an investment, this steadiness might make UPS a more predictable choice, especially if you prefer less erratic performance. Keep an eye on how this stability evolves—it could signal underlying strength or suggest a quieter trading period ahead.
Notably, UPS shows very low volatility with a skewness of -3.05 and kurtosis of 16.54, which helps investors gauge risk during different market conditions. During downturns, increased volatility can pressure UPS’s stock, prompting portfolio adjustments as investors react to falling prices.Investing in United Parcel Service (UPS) presents a compelling opportunity, especially given the current analyst consensus leaning toward a "Buy" with a strong backing of 14 "Strong Buys." The estimated target price of around
99.13 suggests upside potential, with the possible upside price reaching approximately
88.86. While there is a slight downside risk to about
86.39, the overall valuation at roughly
92.8 indicates that the stock is fairly valued or slightly undervalued in the current market. With a solid market value of around
89.22, UPS remains an attractive pick for investors seeking exposure to the logistics sector, especially as its fiscal year wraps up in December. As always, balancing the upside potential against the downside risk is key, but the strong analyst support and favorable valuation metrics make UPS worth considering for your portfolio..
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Rifka Kats is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Rifka writes about retail product and service companies from the perspective of a regular consumer and sophisticated investor at the same time. She is passionate about corporate ethics and equality in the workforce.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of United Parcel Service. Please refer to our
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